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YRD:NYSEYiren Digital Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$1.43

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Yiren Digital Ltd. (YRD) is trading just above its computed support level of roughly $1.32, with the price still far below its 52‑week high of $7.68, indicating a sizeable discount to historical peaks.
Technical gauges such as a 14‑day RSI deep in oversold territory (well under 30) and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce a short‑term downward bias, while a beta modestly above 1 and a 30‑day volatility exceeding 70% flag heightened market sensitivity.
Fundamentally, the stock’s trailing P/E of about 16 aligns closely with the industry average, yet the dividend yield of roughly 27% coupled with a payout ratio above 500% flags an unsustainable dividend policy. The recent AI‑native operating model rollout is material, but the company posted a fourth‑quarter loss, revenue contraction, and a steep max‑drawdown of over 80%, suggesting that any upside hinges on successful execution of its AI strategy amid elevated regulatory and credit‑risk headwinds in China.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering just above support
  • bearish MACD histogram and deep‑oversold RSI
  • elevated 30‑day volatility and high beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • AI‑native multi‑industry model rollout
  • potential improvement in unit economics
  • ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Chinese fintech

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term upside from AI‑driven platform
  • valuation relative to industry PE average
  • possibility of regulatory clearance and sustainable earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-34.10%
Profit Margin0.95%
P/E Ratio15.9
ROE0.58%
ROA10.14%
Debt/Equity0.53
P/B Ratio0.1
Op. Cash Flow$703.6M
Free Cash Flow$-865030720
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI26.3
Support$1.32
Resistance$2.15
MA 20$1.89
MA 50$1.93
MA 200$4.14
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.93

Valuation

Fair Value$128.84
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield27.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.26
Volatility77.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.