YPF:NYSEYPF Sociedad Anonima Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-08 - not real-time
$49.16
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
YPF Sociedad Anónima is priced at $49.16 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Over a rolling month the price has gained 7.4%. RSI sits at 47.1, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $47.89 and resistance around $53.57.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 8.6 sits below the sector average of 19.4. The average analyst target implies 19.0% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 42.8% on a -1.8% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 32.6%, a beta of 0.29 and a maximum drawdown of 31.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 8.6 sits below the sector average of 19.4. The average analyst target implies 19.0% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 42.8% on a -1.8% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 32.6%, a beta of 0.29 and a maximum drawdown of 31.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
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Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 41.59
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 8.6 versus sector average of 19.4
- Trading above the 200-day average of 41.59
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 8.6 versus sector average of 19.4
- Negative profit margin of -1.8%
- Analyst targets imply +19.0% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth42.80%
Profit Margin-1.82%
P/E Ratio8.6
ROE-2.94%
ROA5.39%
Debt/Equity92.45
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$8209.0B
Free Cash Flow$-1393641914368
Industry P/E19.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.1
Support$47.89
Resistance$53.57
MA 20$50.46
MA 50$50.33
MA 200$41.59
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.82
Valuation
Fair Value$479,935.33
Target Price$58.52
Upside/Downside19.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility32.58%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.