XOM:NYSE

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$151.21

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Exxon Mobil is trading at $151.21, comfortably above its 20‑day ($150.44), 50‑day ($138.06) and 200‑day ($118.57) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The RSI sits at 58.9, indicating momentum is still in the upside territory but not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting a possible short‑term softening. The stock currently respects a support zone near $145.15 and faces resistance around $159.61, with stable volume underpinning the price action. Recent geopolitical flashpoints in the Middle East have lifted oil prices, and headlines note that XOM shares rallied on the surge, providing a fresh catalyst for near‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company posts a PE of 22.6 versus an industry average of 20.7 and a forward PE of 18.0, hinting at modest overvaluation relative to peers and analyst median targets of $144. Dividend yield remains attractive at 2.7% with a payout ratio just under 60%, supporting the case for sustainable income. However, a high debt‑to‑equity profile and a 30‑day volatility of 28.7% introduce caution, especially amid increasing regulatory scrutiny on carbon emissions. Overall, the blend of technical strength, dividend appeal, and short‑term geopolitical tailwinds supports a cautiously bullish stance, tempered by valuation and sector risks.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Geopolitical tension driving oil price spikes
  • Price above all major moving averages
  • Support level intact and volume stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated valuation relative to analyst targets
  • Potential regulatory headwinds on carbon emissions
  • Strong dividend yield providing income cushion

Long Term

> 3 years
hold
Conviction: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend and robust cash flow generation
  • Transition risk from energy‑transition initiatives
  • High debt load requiring careful balance‑sheet management

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.30%
Profit Margin8.90%
P/E Ratio22.6
ROE11.08%
ROA4.90%
Debt/Equity18.94
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$52.0B
Free Cash Flow$12.2B
Industry P/E20.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.9
Support$145.15
Resistance$159.61
MA 20$150.44
MA 50$138.06
MA 200$118.57
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index68.77

Valuation

Fair Value$31.14
Target Price$144.25
Upside/Downside-4.60%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.51
Volatility28.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.