USB:NYSE

U.S. Bancorp

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$52.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

U.S. Bancorp is trading at $52.13, below its 20‑day SMA of $56.45 and 50‑day SMA of $55.99, indicating short‑term price weakness, yet the 200‑day SMA remains supportive at $49.45. Technical indicators show a bearish MACD (line –0.99 vs signal –0.36) and an RSI of 34, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold conditions. Fundamentally, the stock offers a solid dividend yield of 3.9% with a comfortable payout ratio of 44%, a PE of 11.3 versus an industry average of 17.4, and a forward PE of 9.35, pointing to relative valuation attractiveness. Recent analyst coverage highlights a modest upside of ~23% and a target median price around $63, while the DCF fair value of $41.66 implies the market may be pricing in growth expectations beyond intrinsic estimates.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term SMAs indicating near‑term downside pressure
  • Bearish MACD and RSI in oversold territory
  • Strong support at $50.32 and stable volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap to target median price (~$63) offering upside
  • Robust dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Positive earnings momentum with forward EPS growth

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent profitability (ROE ~12%) and stable cash generation
  • Low relative valuation (PE well below industry average)
  • Resilient business model in the regional banking sector with diversified revenue streams

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.30%
Profit Margin28.72%
P/E Ratio11.3
ROE12.18%
ROA1.11%
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$8.0B
Industry P/E17.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI34.1
Support$50.32
Resistance$61.19
MA 20$56.45
MA 50$56.00
MA 200$49.45
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$41.66
Target Price$64.18
Upside/Downside23.12%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.90%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility30.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.