ENEL:MIL

Enel SpA

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

€9.39

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Enel shares are trading at €9.39, just above the calculated support of €8.81 and slightly below the 20‑day SMA of €9.55, while remaining above the 50‑day SMA of €9.34, indicating a modest bullish bias. The stock’s RSI of 47 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest near‑term indecision, but the overall trend is labelled bullish and the Fear & Greed Index shows “Extreme Greed” at 75.9, reflecting strong market sentiment. Valuation metrics are appealing: a trailing P/E of 15.65 is well under the industry average of 20.82 and the forward P/E of 13.08 points to potential upside, with the DCF model indicating a modest 3.97% upside. The dividend yield of 5.16% is among the highest in the sector, supported by a payout ratio of 78% and robust free cash flow of €5.75 bn, making the dividend appear sustainable. However, the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 139% and a beta of only 0.23, implying low market sensitivity but elevated financial leverage.
The announced €53 bn gross capex plan through 2028, up €10 bn from prior guidance, underscores Enel’s commitment to expanding renewable capacity, which should drive long‑term growth despite short‑term cash‑flow pressure. With a solid operating margin of 22% and a return on equity of 15%, the fundamentals remain strong, and the modest upside suggested by the DCF aligns with a “fair” valuation stance. Given the stable volume trends and low liquidity risk, the stock is positioned for a hold in the near term, while the attractive yield and growth prospects support buy recommendations for medium and long horizons.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with mixed SMA signals
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term weakness
  • High dividend yield providing downside protection

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
  • Upside potential from DCF model and strong cash flow
  • Capex plan targeting renewable growth

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield of 5.16% with solid payout coverage
  • Long‑term shift to renewables bolstering earnings
  • Stable utility sector fundamentals and low market beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.10%
Profit Margin8.21%
P/E Ratio15.7
ROE15.06%
ROA4.77%
Debt/Equity139.00
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow€13.9B
Free Cash Flow€5.7B
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.1
Support€8.81
Resistance€10.31
MA 20€9.55
MA 50€9.34
MA 200€8.51
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value€1.91
Target Price€9.76
Upside/Downside3.97%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility32.93%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.