WYNN:NASDAQWynn Resorts, Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time
$102.42
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Wynn Resorts trades at $102.42, sitting below its 20‑day SMA of 106.07 and 50‑day SMA of 103.60, with a near‑term support level around $99.60. The RSI of 43 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest limited upside momentum, while a 30‑day volatility of 32% and beta of 1.24 point to heightened price swings. Fundamentally, the company posted $7.29 B in revenue with 9.2% growth and strong gross margins (68%), yet profit margins remain modest at 5% and net earnings are constrained by a $12.16 B debt load versus $1.80 B of cash, resulting in a negative book value per share. Analyst consensus remains bullish, with a strong‑buy rating, a median price target of $136 and an implied upside of roughly 34%.
Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 7 will be a catalyst, as past quarters have missed consensus estimates, and recent news highlights expansion projects in Macau and the UAE, which could fuel medium‑term growth. However, travel‑related headwinds—exemplified by the Iran‑UAE flare‑up affecting tourism sentiment—add short‑term uncertainty.
Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 7 will be a catalyst, as past quarters have missed consensus estimates, and recent news highlights expansion projects in Macau and the UAE, which could fuel medium‑term growth. However, travel‑related headwinds—exemplified by the Iran‑UAE flare‑up affecting tourism sentiment—add short‑term uncertainty.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish MACD
- Imminent Q1 earnings volatility
- Travel disruption concerns from geopolitical tensions
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Expansion in Macau and new UAE development
- Upside potential to median target of $136
- Attractive dividend yield relative to earnings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and negative book value
- Sustained demand for luxury integrated resorts
- Regulatory exposure in multiple jurisdictions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.20%
Profit Margin5.14%
P/E Ratio29.3
ROA5.60%
P/B Ratio-38.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.4B
Free Cash Flow$356.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.6
Support$99.60
Resistance$111.97
MA 20$106.07
MA 50$103.60
MA 200$115.43
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Target Price$137.24
Upside/Downside33.99%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.98%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.24
Volatility32.63%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.