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WYNN:NASDAQWynn Resorts, Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$102.42

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wynn Resorts trades at $102.42, sitting below its 20‑day SMA of 106.07 and 50‑day SMA of 103.60, with a near‑term support level around $99.60. The RSI of 43 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest limited upside momentum, while a 30‑day volatility of 32% and beta of 1.24 point to heightened price swings. Fundamentally, the company posted $7.29 B in revenue with 9.2% growth and strong gross margins (68%), yet profit margins remain modest at 5% and net earnings are constrained by a $12.16 B debt load versus $1.80 B of cash, resulting in a negative book value per share. Analyst consensus remains bullish, with a strong‑buy rating, a median price target of $136 and an implied upside of roughly 34%.
Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 7 will be a catalyst, as past quarters have missed consensus estimates, and recent news highlights expansion projects in Macau and the UAE, which could fuel medium‑term growth. However, travel‑related headwinds—exemplified by the Iran‑UAE flare‑up affecting tourism sentiment—add short‑term uncertainty.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish MACD
  • Imminent Q1 earnings volatility
  • Travel disruption concerns from geopolitical tensions

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Expansion in Macau and new UAE development
  • Upside potential to median target of $136
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage and negative book value
  • Sustained demand for luxury integrated resorts
  • Regulatory exposure in multiple jurisdictions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.20%
Profit Margin5.14%
P/E Ratio29.3
ROA5.60%
P/B Ratio-38.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.4B
Free Cash Flow$356.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.6
Support$99.60
Resistance$111.97
MA 20$106.07
MA 50$103.60
MA 200$115.43
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target Price$137.24
Upside/Downside33.99%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.24
Volatility32.63%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.