We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

AENA:BMEAena SME SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

€25.47

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Aena’s share price is currently trading above its long‑term trend line while remaining under the short‑term averages, indicating mixed momentum. The relative strength index sits below the neutral midpoint, suggesting limited upside pressure. A bearish MACD crossover and a negative histogram reinforce the short‑term downside bias. However, daily volume is on an upward trajectory, providing liquidity support for potential reversals. The company delivers a high dividend yield that ranks among the most attractive in the Industrials sector. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple is comfortably lower than peers, pointing to a valuation discount. Nonetheless, the discounted cash flow model values the stock well beneath the current market price, implying limited upside.
Fundamentally, Aena enjoys robust operating margins and solid cash generation, underpinning its dividend sustainability. Debt levels are elevated relative to equity, which could constrain future financial flexibility. Geographic diversification across Europe and Latin America spreads exposure, yet regulatory oversight remains a key consideration for airport operators. The beta profile suggests low sensitivity to broader market swings, tempering systematic risk. Volatility over the past month has been elevated, reflecting the sector’s cyclical nature. Analyst consensus leans toward a neutral stance, with target prices modestly above the current level. Overall, the stock presents a blend of value appeal and dividend income, but short‑term technical signals advise caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term averages
  • bearish MACD signal
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation discount to peers
  • strong cash flow generation
  • high dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • stable airport concession model
  • geographic diversification
  • low beta and systematic risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.30%
Profit Margin33.89%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROE24.76%
ROA10.33%
Debt/Equity82.55
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow€2.8B
Free Cash Flow€1.5B
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.2
Support€24.85
Resistance€28.86
MA 20€26.82
MA 50€26.06
MA 200€24.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value€16.85
Target Price€26.23
Upside/Downside3.00%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.32%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.26
Volatility26.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.