ECBK:NASDAQECB Bancorp, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time
$16.60
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ECB Bancorp is trading at $16.60, comfortably above its 30‑day support of $15.88 but below the 20‑day SMA of $16.71, indicating a modest upside cushion. The MACD histogram has turned positive and the signal line is bullish, while volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting short‑term buying pressure may be building. However, the RSI sits at 46.5, well within the neutral zone, and the price remains trapped between a resistance of $17.49 and the current level, limiting immediate upside. On the fundamentals side, revenue surged 24.9% year‑over‑year to $31.7 M and the bank posted a robust operating margin of 40% and profit margin of 24.5%, underscoring strong earnings quality. The trailing PE of 17.66 is slightly above the industry average of 16.26, hinting at a modest premium, yet the P/B of 0.85 places the stock below book value, offering a value cushion. A stark contrast emerges from the discounted cash‑flow model, which caps fair value near $4.65, flagging a potential overvaluation concern. The stock’s beta of ~0.33 and a 30‑day volatility of 31.4% portray a low‑beta but highly volatile profile, while the Fear/Greed Index at 68 (Greed) reflects a market environment inclined toward risk‑taking.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at $15.88
- Bullish MACD crossover with rising volume
- Neutral RSI indicating no extreme momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 24.9% and high operating margins
- Price below book value (P/B 0.85) offering upside potential
- Low beta suggesting limited systematic risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt level relative to cash reserves
- Low ROE (4.6%) and modest profitability
- Regional bank exposure to regulatory and credit cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.90%
Profit Margin24.51%
P/E Ratio17.7
ROE4.57%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$9.2M
Industry P/E16.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.5
Support$15.88
Resistance$17.49
MA 20$16.71
MA 50$17.34
MA 200$16.62
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.04
Valuation
Fair Value$4.65
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility31.44%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.