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WULF:NASDAQTeraWulf Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$23.39

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $23.39, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $21.27 and the 50‑day SMA of $17.86, indicating a clear bullish bias. Momentum indicators reinforce this view, with an RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD crossover. Volume remains stable, and the price is holding above the $18.25 support level while eyeing the $25.76 resistance. Beta exceeds 3, and 30‑day volatility sits near 80%, suggesting the share can swing sharply on news. The Fear & Greed Index is in the “Extreme Greed” zone, reflecting strong market optimism. Nevertheless, the technical upside is limited by a relatively narrow price range.
Fundamentally, the company reports a $168 million revenue base with a slight decline YoY and operating losses that drive a negative EPS of –$2.51. The forward PE of ~83 and a price‑to‑book of 70× are dramatically above the industry average, flagging an overvalued valuation. Cash reserves of $2.6 billion are offset by $5.3 billion of debt, creating a leveraged balance sheet. Recent Q1 commentary highlights a strategic pivot toward contracted high‑performance computing leases, aiming to generate recurring revenue and improve margins. If the HPC transition materializes, it could support the lofty market price, but execution risk remains high. Investors should weigh the bullish technical backdrop against the weak earnings profile and elevated risk factors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (SMA alignment, RSI, MACD)
  • High volatility and beta increase price swing risk
  • Current valuation appears stretched relative to earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic shift toward recurring HPC leasing revenue
  • Strong cash position to fund data‑center expansion
  • Potential margin improvement as HPC contracts ramp up

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt load versus modest revenue base
  • Continued overvaluation without clear earnings turnaround
  • Regulatory and crypto‑mining environment uncertainty

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.10%
P/E Ratio82.9
ROE-2215.95%
ROA-3.61%
P/B Ratio70.0
Op. Cash Flow$-197258000
Free Cash Flow$-78431128
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.5
Support$18.25
Resistance$25.76
MA 20$21.27
MA 50$17.86
MA 200$13.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target Price$28.96
Upside/Downside23.81%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta3.34
Volatility79.53%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.