6701:TSE
NEC Corporation
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥4,500.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NEC Corp. is trading at ¥4,500, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ¥4,213 but still below the 50‑day SMA of ¥4,981, indicating a modest short‑term pull‑back within a broader uptrend anchored by the 200‑day SMA of ¥4,743. The stock sits near the midpoint of its technical range, with a solid support at ¥3,606 and resistance at ¥4,915, while the MACD histogram is positive (≈¥100) and the RSI hovers around 50, suggesting a neutral momentum environment. Volatility is high at roughly 78% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of ~0.74 points to lower systematic risk than the market, and the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong investor appetite.
Fundamentally, the current price appears stretched against the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,276, but the forward PE of ~6.3 and a trailing PE of 25.6 versus an industry average of 36.9 signal relative valuation attractiveness. The dividend yield of 0.72% with a modest 17% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the recent EPS beat coupled with NEC’s participation in the MWC Barcelona exhibition could provide a catalyst for medium‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the current price appears stretched against the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,276, but the forward PE of ~6.3 and a trailing PE of 25.6 versus an industry average of 36.9 signal relative valuation attractiveness. The dividend yield of 0.72% with a modest 17% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the recent EPS beat coupled with NEC’s participation in the MWC Barcelona exhibition could provide a catalyst for medium‑term upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical indicators with price near mid‑range
- Upcoming MWC Barcelona exposure could spark short‑term interest
- Valuation slightly above DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low forward PE (~6.3) indicating earnings upside
- Sustainable dividend and strong cash position
- Positive earnings momentum and EPS beat
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified technology services footprint
- Valuation concerns relative to DCF fair value
- Stable cash flow generation despite high debt levels
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin6.98%
P/E Ratio25.6
Debt/Equity23.86
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow¥458.8B
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.4
Support¥3,606.00
Resistance¥4,915.00
MA 20¥4,213.30
MA 50¥4,981.26
MA 200¥4,742.51
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index80.07
Valuation
Fair Value¥3,276.28
Target Price¥6,362.50
Upside/Downside41.39%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.74
Volatility77.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.