6701:TSE

NEC Corporation

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥4,500.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NEC Corp. is trading at ¥4,500, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ¥4,213 but still below the 50‑day SMA of ¥4,981, indicating a modest short‑term pull‑back within a broader uptrend anchored by the 200‑day SMA of ¥4,743. The stock sits near the midpoint of its technical range, with a solid support at ¥3,606 and resistance at ¥4,915, while the MACD histogram is positive (≈¥100) and the RSI hovers around 50, suggesting a neutral momentum environment. Volatility is high at roughly 78% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of ~0.74 points to lower systematic risk than the market, and the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong investor appetite.
Fundamentally, the current price appears stretched against the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,276, but the forward PE of ~6.3 and a trailing PE of 25.6 versus an industry average of 36.9 signal relative valuation attractiveness. The dividend yield of 0.72% with a modest 17% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the recent EPS beat coupled with NEC’s participation in the MWC Barcelona exhibition could provide a catalyst for medium‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral technical indicators with price near mid‑range
  • Upcoming MWC Barcelona exposure could spark short‑term interest
  • Valuation slightly above DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low forward PE (~6.3) indicating earnings upside
  • Sustainable dividend and strong cash position
  • Positive earnings momentum and EPS beat

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified technology services footprint
  • Valuation concerns relative to DCF fair value
  • Stable cash flow generation despite high debt levels

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin6.98%
P/E Ratio25.6
Debt/Equity23.86
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow¥458.8B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.4
Support¥3,606.00
Resistance¥4,915.00
MA 20¥4,213.30
MA 50¥4,981.26
MA 200¥4,742.51
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index80.07

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,276.28
Target Price¥6,362.50
Upside/Downside41.39%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility77.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.