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2702:TSEMcDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

NT$11.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hotel Holiday Garden is trading at TWD 11.35, which sits below its 20‑day (TWD 11.73) and 50‑day (TWD 11.81) simple moving averages and is approaching the 30‑day support level of TWD 11.15, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI of 39 points suggests the stock is mildly oversold, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing the current downtrend and a “bearish” MACD signal. Volatility is elevated at 19 % over the past month and beta is modest at 0.5, implying the share moves less than the market but still experiences sizable price swings.
Fundamentally, the company shows a low price‑to‑book ratio of 0.53 and a price‑to‑sales of 1.26, hinting at potential value, yet profitability is weak with a –3.9 % profit margin and a negative ROE of –1.65 %. Debt is high (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 76 %) and earnings per share are negative, while free cash flow remains strong at TWD 1.49 bn. No dividend is paid, and the sector (consumer cyclical – lodging) adds medium cyclical risk. Overall, the stock appears undervalued but faces significant earnings and leverage challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Low price‑to‑book suggesting value
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Negative earnings and profit margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Strong free cash flow generation
  • Significant upside potential versus book value
  • Low beta indicating limited market correlation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin-3.85%
ROE-1.65%
ROA0.92%
Debt/Equity76.00
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowNT$126.5M
Free Cash FlowNT$1.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.4
SupportNT$11.15
ResistanceNT$12.45
MA 20NT$11.73
MA 50NT$11.81
MA 200NT$12.33
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$142.83
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility19.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.