WTTR:NYSESelect Water Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time
$16.80
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading above its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages while remaining below the long‑term average, and the MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI sits in a comfortable mid‑range, suggesting room for further upside without immediate overbought pressure. However, the 30‑day volatility is elevated and volume trends are weakening, which could amplify short‑term price swings. The beta is slightly above one, meaning the equity moves in line with, or a touch more than, the broader market.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are stretched, with a trailing P/E that is markedly higher than the industry norm and a price‑to‑book ratio well above one, while the DCF‑derived fair value sits below the current market price. Profitability is thin, free cash flow is negative, and the company carries a high debt load relative to equity, raising concerns about balance‑sheet resilience. The dividend payout exceeds earnings, flagging sustainability issues despite the modest yield. Nonetheless, management is projecting robust growth in the water‑infrastructure segment, which could improve earnings trajectory if realized.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are stretched, with a trailing P/E that is markedly higher than the industry norm and a price‑to‑book ratio well above one, while the DCF‑derived fair value sits below the current market price. Profitability is thin, free cash flow is negative, and the company carries a high debt load relative to equity, raising concerns about balance‑sheet resilience. The dividend payout exceeds earnings, flagging sustainability issues despite the modest yield. Nonetheless, management is projecting robust growth in the water‑infrastructure segment, which could improve earnings trajectory if realized.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, positive MACD)
- Recent price dip offering a more attractive entry point
- High market sentiment reflected by extreme greed index
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong growth guidance for water‑infrastructure segment
- Persistently high valuation relative to earnings and peers
- Elevated volatility and weakening volume trends
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Overvaluation indicated by DCF fair value below market price
- Negative free cash flow and high debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Unsustainable dividend payout exceeding earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.30%
Profit Margin1.54%
P/E Ratio80.0
ROE2.10%
ROA1.71%
Debt/Equity25.48
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$230.0M
Free Cash Flow$-123207128
Industry P/E20.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.5
Support$14.22
Resistance$18.50
MA 20$16.16
MA 50$15.20
MA 200$11.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$13.61
Target Price$19.60
Upside/Downside16.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.67%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.07
Volatility36.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.