RA5F:SWBRatch Group Public Co. Ltd. (Alien Mkt) Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
€0.82
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading just below its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, with the 200‑day SMA comfortably beneath the price, indicating a longer‑term bullish bias. Momentum is neutral as the RSI hovers around the mid‑40s, while the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting short‑term bearish pressure. The price sits near the identified support level and below the near‑term resistance, implying limited upside in the immediate term.
Fundamental perspective: Valuation metrics are attractive – the price‑to‑earnings ratio is well below the industry average and the price‑to‑book is under one, pointing to an undervalued position. Revenue growth is robust, yet operating margins are negative and the company carries a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio, raising concerns about leverage. A generous dividend yield above five percent and a payout ratio near 56% provide income appeal, but free cash flow is currently negative, adding a layer of risk. Low beta and moderate 30‑day volatility suggest limited price swings, but illiquid trading volumes elevate liquidity risk.
Fundamental perspective: Valuation metrics are attractive – the price‑to‑earnings ratio is well below the industry average and the price‑to‑book is under one, pointing to an undervalued position. Revenue growth is robust, yet operating margins are negative and the company carries a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio, raising concerns about leverage. A generous dividend yield above five percent and a payout ratio near 56% provide income appeal, but free cash flow is currently negative, adding a layer of risk. Low beta and moderate 30‑day volatility suggest limited price swings, but illiquid trading volumes elevate liquidity risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with bearish MACD signal
- Neutral RSI and limited upside to resistance
- Illiquid trading environment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount to peers (low P/E, P/B)
- Strong revenue growth and attractive dividend yield
- Low beta indicating stable price behavior
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and negative operating margin
- Regulated utilities sector provides stable cash flows
- Sustainable dividend but dependent on future cash generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth47.70%
Profit Margin25.36%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE6.42%
ROA-0.05%
Debt/Equity106.80
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow€12.4B
Free Cash Flow€-4304062464
Industry P/E23.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.1
Support€0.81
Resistance€0.83
MA 20€0.83
MA 50€0.83
MA 200€0.70
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.50
Volatility5.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.