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8424:TSEFuyo General Lease Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

¥4,385.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fuyo General Lease trades at ¥4,385, well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥4,515 and 50‑day SMA of ¥4,446, indicating a short‑term pull‑back despite a bullish 200‑day SMA trend. The stock’s forward PE of 5.7 and price‑to‑book of 0.83 suggest it is undervalued relative to the industry average PE of 30. Revenue surged 65% YoY, but margins remain thin (gross 13.3%, operating 7.1%) and ROE is only 6%, highlighting a growth‑focused but low‑profitability profile. A dividend yield of 3.5% with a 52% payout ratio provides attractive income, and the company holds ¥665 bn in cash, partially offsetting its high debt‑to‑equity of 539.
Technical signals are mixed: the MACD is bearish, the RSI sits at 44 (neutral), and the price sits above the identified support at ¥4,230 but below the resistance of ¥4,664, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volatility of 22.8% and a low beta of 0.18 point to modest market‑wide risk, yet the massive leverage introduces significant financial risk. Considering the cheap valuation, solid dividend, and strong top‑line growth, the stock is a potential long‑term buy, but investors should watch for short‑term downside pressure toward support.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price near technical support
  • Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • 65% revenue growth YoY
  • Low valuation multiples (PE 14.6 vs industry 30)
  • Attractive 3.5% dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers
  • Sustainable dividend with reasonable payout ratio
  • Potential for deleveraging given strong cash position

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth64.90%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE6.01%
ROA0.73%
Debt/Equity539.32
P/B Ratio0.8
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.4
Support¥4,230.00
Resistance¥4,664.00
MA 20¥4,515.45
MA 50¥4,446.38
MA 200¥4,217.44
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.16

Valuation

Target Price¥4,100.00
Upside/Downside-6.50%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.54%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility22.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.