8424:TSEFuyo General Lease Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
¥4,385.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fuyo General Lease trades at ¥4,385, well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥4,515 and 50‑day SMA of ¥4,446, indicating a short‑term pull‑back despite a bullish 200‑day SMA trend. The stock’s forward PE of 5.7 and price‑to‑book of 0.83 suggest it is undervalued relative to the industry average PE of 30. Revenue surged 65% YoY, but margins remain thin (gross 13.3%, operating 7.1%) and ROE is only 6%, highlighting a growth‑focused but low‑profitability profile. A dividend yield of 3.5% with a 52% payout ratio provides attractive income, and the company holds ¥665 bn in cash, partially offsetting its high debt‑to‑equity of 539.
Technical signals are mixed: the MACD is bearish, the RSI sits at 44 (neutral), and the price sits above the identified support at ¥4,230 but below the resistance of ¥4,664, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volatility of 22.8% and a low beta of 0.18 point to modest market‑wide risk, yet the massive leverage introduces significant financial risk. Considering the cheap valuation, solid dividend, and strong top‑line growth, the stock is a potential long‑term buy, but investors should watch for short‑term downside pressure toward support.
Technical signals are mixed: the MACD is bearish, the RSI sits at 44 (neutral), and the price sits above the identified support at ¥4,230 but below the resistance of ¥4,664, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volatility of 22.8% and a low beta of 0.18 point to modest market‑wide risk, yet the massive leverage introduces significant financial risk. Considering the cheap valuation, solid dividend, and strong top‑line growth, the stock is a potential long‑term buy, but investors should watch for short‑term downside pressure toward support.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Price near technical support
- Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- 65% revenue growth YoY
- Low valuation multiples (PE 14.6 vs industry 30)
- Attractive 3.5% dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers
- Sustainable dividend with reasonable payout ratio
- Potential for deleveraging given strong cash position
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth64.90%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE6.01%
ROA0.73%
Debt/Equity539.32
P/B Ratio0.8
Industry P/E30.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.4
Support¥4,230.00
Resistance¥4,664.00
MA 20¥4,515.45
MA 50¥4,446.38
MA 200¥4,217.44
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.16
Valuation
Target Price¥4,100.00
Upside/Downside-6.50%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.54%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility22.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.