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WTFC:NASDAQWintrust Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$151.64

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wintrust Financial (WTFC) is trading at $151.64, comfortably above its 20‑day ($149.05), 50‑day ($142.41) and 200‑day ($138.36) moving averages, indicating a sustained bullish trend. The momentum indicators reinforce this view: RSI sits at 59, the MACD line is marginally above its signal line, and the price is holding above the identified support of $143.74 while still below resistance at $154.39. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a forward P/E of 10.94 versus the industry average of 16.39, and a P/B of 1.49, while delivering a modest 1.38% dividend yield backed by a low 17% payout ratio. Revenue growth of 10.3% and a strong operating margin of 46% translate into solid profitability (ROE 12.3%) and suggest continued earnings momentum, reflected in a consensus “Buy” rating and a 15% upside potential to the median target of $178. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index 90.73), but volume is trending downwards and beta around 0.86 introduces moderate market risk, warranting a balanced risk outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
  • Strong recent earnings beat and revenue growth
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation multiples vs peers
  • Analyst consensus target implying ~15% upside
  • Robust operating margin and ROE supporting earnings expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend policy and sustainable payout
  • Exposure to cyclical regional banking sector
  • Moderate volatility and beta indicating manageable market risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin32.03%
P/E Ratio12.7
ROE12.34%
ROA1.25%
P/B Ratio1.5
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI59.0
Support$143.74
Resistance$154.39
MA 20$149.05
MA 50$142.41
MA 200$138.36
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target Price$174.67
Upside/Downside15.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.15
Volatility23.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.