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TPEIR:ATHEXPiraeus Bank S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

€7.30

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Piraeus Bank trades at a trailing P/E of 8.9, well below the industry average of 16.3, and its price‑to‑book sits under 1.0, suggesting the stock is materially undervalued. The dividend yield of 5.45% combined with a modest payout ratio of 36% offers attractive income, while the consensus target price of around €9.8 implies a potential upside of over 30% from the current €7.3 level. The upcoming Capital Markets Day on 5 March will likely provide clarity on the 2026‑2030 strategic plan, adding a catalyst for near‑term price movement.
Technical indicators are mixed: the MACD is bearish and the RSI sits at 42, indicating limited momentum, but the stock is supported around €6.84 and volume is increasing, reducing short‑term downside pressure. Despite a high 30‑day volatility of 55% and a modest beta of 0.47, the bank’s strong cash position (€11.8 bn) relative to debt and a stable regulatory environment keep overall risk moderate, supporting a buy recommendation for medium‑ to long‑term horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming Capital Markets Day could shift sentiment
  • Support level near €6.84 provides downside cushion
  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI limit upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap versus peers (low P/E, P/B)
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Target price upside of >30% and strategic plan rollout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Strong cash buffer relative to debt
  • Consistent earnings growth outlook (forward EPS) and dividend stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.60%
Profit Margin42.75%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE12.03%
ROA1.24%
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow€-1203000064
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.8
Support€6.84
Resistance€8.65
MA 20€7.76
MA 50€8.01
MA 200€7.06
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price€9.60
Upside/Downside31.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility55.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.