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VOC:NYSEVOC Energy Trust Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time

$3.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

VOC Energy Trust trades at $3.35, comfortably above its 20‑day ($3.09) and 50‑day ($3.01) simple moving averages, signaling short‑term momentum. The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is labeled bullish, while the RSI sits at 68, indicating strength but not yet overbought. Valuation metrics are compelling: a trailing P/E of 7.6 is well below the industry average of 21.7, and the stock offers an eye‑popping 17.2% dividend yield. However, the company’s revenue fell 16.5% year‑over‑year, and the dividend payout ratio is 100%—the dividend ($0.58) exceeds earnings per share ($0.44), raising questions about sustainability. Risk factors are notable: 30‑day volatility is high at 36.5%, the beta is slightly negative (-0.27) indicating low market correlation, and the max drawdown has reached 27%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term moving averages and bullish MACD
  • High current dividend yield attracting income demand
  • Increasing volume supporting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue decline of 16.5% indicating earnings pressure
  • Dividend payout exceeds earnings, creating sustainability risk
  • Elevated volatility and sector commodity exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Negative revenue growth and uncertain cash flow generation
  • Potential dividend cuts due to 100% payout ratio
  • High sector and regulatory risk in oil & gas

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-16.50%
Profit Margin90.04%
P/E Ratio7.6
ROE70.60%
ROA44.12%
P/B Ratio5.9
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI67.9
Support$2.72
Resistance$3.46
MA 20$3.09
MA 50$3.01
MA 200$3.08
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.64

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield17.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.27
Volatility36.48%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.