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VNDA:NASDAQVanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time

$5.42

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $5.42, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 1.1%. RSI sits at 51.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $4.45 and resistance around $5.59.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 27.1 times earnings against the sector's 30.6. Sell-side targets cluster 124.9% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 3.9% on a -127.4% profit margin.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 39.5%, a beta of 0.78 and a maximum drawdown of 48.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.

Top Market Events

Updated Aug 5, 2026 0 - Fanapt® Q2 2026 net product sales increased 23% to $36.Fanapt® Q2 2026 net product sales increased 23% to $36.Updated Jul 29, 2026 0 Conference Call and Webcast to Follow WASHINGTON, July 29, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Vanda...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 6.56
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 27.1 versus sector average of 30.6
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 6.56

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 27.1 versus sector average of 30.6
  • Negative profit margin of -127.4%
  • Analyst targets imply +124.9% versus the current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.90%
Profit Margin-127.41%
P/E Ratio27.1
ROE-77.81%
ROA-22.38%
Debt/Equity10.37
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$-142331008
Free Cash Flow$-86717752
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.7
Support$4.45
Resistance$5.59
MA 20$5.26
MA 50$5.54
MA 200$6.56
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.43

Valuation

Target Price$12.19
Upside/Downside124.86%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.78
Volatility39.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.