VNCE:NASDAQVince Holding Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time
$6.50
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $6.50, Vince Holding Corp. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. It has lost 2.8% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 50.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $5.76 and resistance around $8.10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory at a P/E of 9.8. The average analyst target implies 38.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 10.5% on a 3.0% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 92.5%, a beta of 1.83 and a maximum drawdown of 55.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory at a P/E of 9.8. The average analyst target implies 38.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 10.5% on a 3.0% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 92.5%, a beta of 1.83 and a maximum drawdown of 55.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
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Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 4.20
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day volatility of 92.5%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 4.20
- Analyst targets imply +38.5% versus the current price
- 30-day volatility of 92.5%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +38.5% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +10.5%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin2.97%
P/E Ratio9.8
ROE21.28%
ROA3.15%
Debt/Equity269.48
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.9M
Free Cash Flow$-3246625
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.4
Support$5.76
Resistance$8.10
MA 20$6.44
MA 50$6.53
MA 200$4.20
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Valuation
Target Price$9.00
Upside/Downside38.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.83
Volatility92.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.