VMET:NASDAQVersamet Royalties Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-29 - not real-time
$8.60
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Versamet Royalties (VMET) is currently trading at $8.6, which sits below its 20‑day simple moving average of 9.68 and near the identified support level of 8.5. Technical momentum is weak – the 14‑day RSI is around 34, the MACD line remains below its signal line, and volume is on a decreasing trend, all pointing to a bearish short‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, the company posts impressive operating margins (over 90%) and a solid profit margin of 58%, yet it carries a heavy debt load (debt‑to‑equity > 12) and generated a large negative free cash flow of roughly $‑133 M. The discounted cash flow model values the stock at about $6.86, implying the market price is currently overvalued. High beta (~1.9) and 30‑day volatility above 68% amplify the risk profile.
Fundamentally, the company posts impressive operating margins (over 90%) and a solid profit margin of 58%, yet it carries a heavy debt load (debt‑to‑equity > 12) and generated a large negative free cash flow of roughly $‑133 M. The discounted cash flow model values the stock at about $6.86, implying the market price is currently overvalued. High beta (~1.9) and 30‑day volatility above 68% amplify the risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day SMA and near support
- Bearish MACD and low RSI
- Decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High operating margins offset by heavy debt load
- Negative free cash flow
- Market price exceeds DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Diversified royalty exposure across multiple metals and regions
- No dividend and high volatility
- Potential upside if metal prices rise and debt is reduced
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth593.90%
Profit Margin58.44%
P/E Ratio27.7
ROE11.15%
ROA10.91%
Debt/Equity12.30
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow$31.7M
Free Cash Flow$-133993784
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.7
Support$8.50
Resistance$13.22
MA 20$9.68
MA 50$11.15
MA 200$11.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.54
Valuation
Fair Value$6.86
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.88
Volatility68.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.