VLYPP:NASDAQValley National Bancorp - 6.25% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
$25.13
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Valley National Bancorp’s preferred share is trading at $25.13, just below its calculated resistance of $25.13 and above a solid support of $24.71. The technical picture is mixed: the 20‑day SMA (≈$25.00) sits marginally under the price, the 50‑day SMA (≈$24.95) is also supportive, while the 200‑day SMA (≈$25.15) is slightly higher, indicating a neutral trend. Momentum signals are modestly positive – the MACD histogram is bullish and the RSI hovers near 60, suggesting limited upside momentum but no overbought condition. Volume is on an upward trend, adding confidence to the price stability.
Fundamentally, the bank delivers strong operating performance with a 46% operating margin and a 34% profit margin, and revenue is expanding at a 15% annual rate. However, the valuation appears stretched: the trailing P/E of 22.6 exceeds the industry average of 18, and the price‑to‑book of 1.86 is above peers. The 6.25% preferred dividend yields an eye‑catching 7.98%, yet the payout ratio is listed as 0%, raising questions about sustainability. A low beta (~0.09) and modest 30‑day volatility (≈5.6%) point to limited price swing risk, but the high debt load and regulatory exposure typical of regional banks temper the upside.
Fundamentally, the bank delivers strong operating performance with a 46% operating margin and a 34% profit margin, and revenue is expanding at a 15% annual rate. However, the valuation appears stretched: the trailing P/E of 22.6 exceeds the industry average of 18, and the price‑to‑book of 1.86 is above peers. The 6.25% preferred dividend yields an eye‑catching 7.98%, yet the payout ratio is listed as 0%, raising questions about sustainability. A low beta (~0.09) and modest 30‑day volatility (≈5.6%) point to limited price swing risk, but the high debt load and regulatory exposure typical of regional banks temper the upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price is near resistance with limited upside
- Bullish MACD and RSI near 60 support stability
- Increasing volume suggests continued interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong operating margins and 15% revenue growth
- Valuation above industry averages
- Potential strain from high debt relative to cash
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Overvalued price metrics vs peers
- Uncertain dividend sustainability
- Regulatory and sector headwinds for regional banks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.00%
Profit Margin34.54%
P/E Ratio22.6
ROE8.95%
ROA1.07%
P/B Ratio1.9
Industry P/E18.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.9
Support$24.71
Resistance$25.13
MA 20$25.00
MA 50$24.95
MA 200$25.15
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.98%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility5.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.