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VLYPP:NASDAQValley National Bancorp - 6.25% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

$25.13

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Valley National Bancorp’s preferred share is trading at $25.13, just below its calculated resistance of $25.13 and above a solid support of $24.71. The technical picture is mixed: the 20‑day SMA (≈$25.00) sits marginally under the price, the 50‑day SMA (≈$24.95) is also supportive, while the 200‑day SMA (≈$25.15) is slightly higher, indicating a neutral trend. Momentum signals are modestly positive – the MACD histogram is bullish and the RSI hovers near 60, suggesting limited upside momentum but no overbought condition. Volume is on an upward trend, adding confidence to the price stability.
Fundamentally, the bank delivers strong operating performance with a 46% operating margin and a 34% profit margin, and revenue is expanding at a 15% annual rate. However, the valuation appears stretched: the trailing P/E of 22.6 exceeds the industry average of 18, and the price‑to‑book of 1.86 is above peers. The 6.25% preferred dividend yields an eye‑catching 7.98%, yet the payout ratio is listed as 0%, raising questions about sustainability. A low beta (~0.09) and modest 30‑day volatility (≈5.6%) point to limited price swing risk, but the high debt load and regulatory exposure typical of regional banks temper the upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near resistance with limited upside
  • Bullish MACD and RSI near 60 support stability
  • Increasing volume suggests continued interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and 15% revenue growth
  • Valuation above industry averages
  • Potential strain from high debt relative to cash

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Overvalued price metrics vs peers
  • Uncertain dividend sustainability
  • Regulatory and sector headwinds for regional banks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.00%
Profit Margin34.54%
P/E Ratio22.6
ROE8.95%
ROA1.07%
P/B Ratio1.9
Industry P/E18.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.9
Support$24.71
Resistance$25.13
MA 20$25.00
MA 50$24.95
MA 200$25.15
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility5.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.