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VIV:NYSETelefonica Brasil S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$13.40

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Telefônica Brasil delivered a robust first‑quarter with revenue expanding well above inflation and margins improving, underscoring the strength of its post‑paid mobile and fiber broadband segments. The company’s price‑to‑earnings multiple sits in line with the telecom industry average, while the dividend yield remains markedly higher than most peers, positioning the stock as an attractive income play. However, the balance sheet shows a debt load that is sizable relative to equity and cash generation appears constrained, raising questions about the long‑term sustainability of the payout. On the technical side, the short‑term moving average sits just below the current market price, the 14‑day RSI has slipped into oversold territory and the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. The beta is comfortably below one, indicating that price swings are milder than the broader market, but recent volatility has been elevated, and trading volume is on a declining trend.
Overall, the fundamentals point to a solid operating platform with a generous dividend, yet the mix of modest growth, elevated leverage and bearish technical signals warrants a measured stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators near support
  • High dividend yield but sustainability concerns
  • Decreasing volume and elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth outpacing inflation
  • Strong operating margins and cash‑flow improvement potential
  • Attractive dividend relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Solid market position in Brazil’s telecom sector
  • Continued expansion of fiber and digital services
  • Long‑run dividend appeal despite leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.40%
Profit Margin10.50%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE9.25%
ROA5.32%
Debt/Equity28.48
P/B Ratio3.2
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.3
Support$13.25
Resistance$16.44
MA 20$14.71
MA 50$15.49
MA 200$13.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Target Price$15.35
Upside/Downside14.54%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.69
Volatility35.52%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.