VITL:NASDAQVital Farms, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
$10.19
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) is currently trading at $10.19 with a trailing P/E of 9.8 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 1.3, suggesting a fair valuation relative to its book value and modest earnings multiple.
Nonetheless, the stock exhibits extreme short‑term instability: a 30‑day volatility of 103%, a max drawdown of -84%, a bearish trend direction, decreasing volume, and a low systematic beta of 0.16, all of which elevate overall market risk despite its low beta.
Adding to the pressure, material news reports multiple securities‑fraud class actions alleging a $15.5 M revenue shortfall and ERP misrepresentations, creating high regulatory and legal risk that overshadows the company’s 15% revenue growth, thin operating margin, and negative free cash flow.
Nonetheless, the stock exhibits extreme short‑term instability: a 30‑day volatility of 103%, a max drawdown of -84%, a bearish trend direction, decreasing volume, and a low systematic beta of 0.16, all of which elevate overall market risk despite its low beta.
Adding to the pressure, material news reports multiple securities‑fraud class actions alleging a $15.5 M revenue shortfall and ERP misrepresentations, creating high regulatory and legal risk that overshadows the company’s 15% revenue growth, thin operating margin, and negative free cash flow.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- high 30‑day volatility
- significant max drawdown
- decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- modest revenue growth
- thin operating margin
- negative free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- ongoing securities‑fraud litigation
- persistent cash burn
- weak operating performance
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.40%
Profit Margin6.10%
P/E Ratio9.8
ROE15.44%
ROA9.24%
Debt/Equity16.39
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$9.9M
Free Cash Flow$-53856752
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.3
Support$7.95
Resistance$14.32
MA 20$10.26
MA 50$12.09
MA 200$29.27
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Fair Value$3.96
Target Price$12.50
Upside/Downside22.67%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility103.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.