VITL:NASDAQVital Farms, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
$10.68
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Vital Farms, Inc. is bearish at $10.68, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 22.4%. RSI sits at 40.2, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $10.22 as support and $12.88 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 40.8 with no clean sector comparison available. Sell-side targets cluster 23.8% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.1% on a 0.0% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 54.6%, a beta of -0.22 and a maximum drawdown of 84.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 40.8 with no clean sector comparison available. Sell-side targets cluster 23.8% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.1% on a 0.0% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 54.6%, a beta of -0.22 and a maximum drawdown of 84.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
A required part of this site couldn’t load.Vital Farms VITL closed the most recent trading day at $12.Seeking Alpha24dVital Farms, Inc. VITL Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 18.79
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 18.79
- Analyst targets imply +23.8% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +23.8% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -10.1%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.10%
Profit Margin0.02%
P/E Ratio40.8
ROE0.05%
ROA0.04%
Debt/Equity38.16
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$-16710000
Free Cash Flow$-98007128
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.2
Support$10.22
Resistance$12.88
MA 20$11.26
MA 50$12.04
MA 200$18.79
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93
Valuation
Target Price$13.22
Upside/Downside23.80%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.22
Volatility54.60%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.