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VIR:NASDAQVir Biotechnology, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time

$9.12

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $9.12, just above the computed support of $9.06 and well below the 52‑week high of $11.66, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. The 20‑day SMA of 10.21 sits above the 50‑day SMA of 9.63, confirming a bullish trend, yet the MACD histogram is negative (‑0.18) and the signal line is bearish, indicating short‑term momentum weakness. RSI at 40.2 points to a neutral stance, not yet oversold, while beta of 2.05 and 30‑day volatility of 58% flag pronounced price swings. Fundamentals are strained: a negative forward PE of ‑3.97, operating cash flow of ‑$446 M, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 10 signal financial risk, yet the company holds $476 M in cash and has secured a strategic partnership with Astellas for VIR‑5500, which just entered Phase 1 dose‑expansion. Analyst consensus is a “strong buy” with a median target of $20, implying a potential upside of over 120% despite the current earnings challenges. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 90.73 (Extreme Greed), reflecting strong market enthusiasm that may be pricing in future pipeline success.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near technical support
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • High beta and volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • First patient dosed in Phase 1 VIR‑5500 trial
  • Strong analyst recommendation and high upside potential
  • Strategic partnership with Astellas expanding commercial reach

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash position supporting continued R&D
  • Pipeline of infectious‑disease and oncology assets
  • Potential for blockbuster revenue if VIR‑5500 or other candidates succeed

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-4.0
ROE-47.69%
ROA-24.68%
Debt/Equity10.66
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$-446051008
Free Cash Flow$-202811632
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.2
Support$9.06
Resistance$11.66
MA 20$10.21
MA 50$9.63
MA 200$6.88
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target Price$20.78
Upside/Downside127.83%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.05
Volatility58.20%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.