7974:TSE

Nintendo Co., Ltd.

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥8,918.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading below both the short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, with a bearish price trend and an RSI hovering around the midpoint, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term. However, the MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating a potential bullish reversal, and volume remains stable, providing a solid base for a bounce off the identified support level.
Fundamental backdrop: Nintendo posted record hardware sales and strong profit growth in the latest quarter, backed by a cash‑rich balance sheet, zero debt, and a sustainable dividend payout. Valuation metrics are elevated relative to peers, but the company’s strong brand, IP collaborations, and consistent cash generation support a buy case for medium to long horizons.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below moving averages indicating short‑term weakness
  • positive MACD histogram suggesting possible reversal
  • stable volume supporting liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • record Switch sales driving earnings momentum
  • strong cash position and zero‑debt balance sheet
  • expanding IP collaborations enhancing revenue streams

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 9/10

Key Factors

  • iconic franchise portfolio providing durable competitive advantage
  • consistent dividend with sustainable payout ratio
  • low beta and defensive financial profile mitigating market volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth86.30%
Profit Margin18.94%
P/E Ratio28.2
ROE14.13%
ROA5.78%
P/B Ratio3.5
Industry P/E18.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.2
Support¥8,350.00
Resistance¥9,097.00
MA 20¥8,644.05
MA 50¥9,570.54
MA 200¥12,040.69
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Target Price¥12,364.27
Upside/Downside38.64%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.10%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility47.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.