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VIOT:NASDAQViomi Technology Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time

$0.99

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Viomi Technology (VIOT) is trading at $0.99, well below its 20‑day ($1.03), 50‑day ($1.15) and 200‑day ($2.23) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bearish price trend. RSI sits at 40.5, hinting at a modestly oversold condition, while the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive (bullish signal) but the line remains under the signal, underscoring lingering weakness. Volume is on a decreasing trajectory and 30‑day volatility is high at 57%, reflecting a fragile market environment. On the fundamentals side, the stock appears dramatically cheap – PE 3.4×, PB 0.30×, and a price‑to‑sales of 0.03× – yet revenue has fallen 26% YoY, margins are thin (gross 25%, operating 1%), forward EPS is negative and free cash flow is -$42 M, while debt‑to‑equity is an elevated 7.7×. The DCF model suggests a fair value near $36.7, implying >120% upside, but such a gap is driven by aggressive assumptions that may not survive the current operational challenges. Investor sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” territory, but the stock’s high beta (~1.0) and a historic max drawdown of ~75% add considerable risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Upcoming earnings release with negative forward EPS guidance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Extremely low valuation multiples versus peers
  • Weak revenue growth and high leverage
  • Potential upside if turnaround initiatives succeed

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF implied fair value far above current price
  • Large upside potential if cash flow improves and debt is reduced
  • Strategic positioning in China’s expanding IoT‑enabled smart‑home market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-25.90%
Profit Margin5.83%
P/E Ratio3.4
ROE9.52%
ROA3.23%
Debt/Equity7.73
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$154.6M
Free Cash Flow$-41991752

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.5
Support$0.94
Resistance$1.14
MA 20$1.03
MA 50$1.15
MA 200$2.23
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$36.68
Target Price$2.25
Upside/Downside126.72%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility57.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.