VBL:NSEVBL FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-13 - not real-time
₹416.50
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Varun Beverages Limited is bearish at INR 416.50, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. It has lost 5.8% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 44.5 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at INR 396.20 and resistance at INR 447.90.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 24.3%, a beta of 0.04 and a maximum drawdown of 26.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 24.3%, a beta of 0.04 and a maximum drawdown of 26.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Varun Beverages Ltd NSE:VBL reports robust sales growth and strategic partnerships, despite facing margin pressures and...Varun Beverages Ltd. has extended its exclusive bottling and trademark license agreement with PepsiCo Inc. in India...Yahoo Finance1monVarun Beverages Ltd NSE:VBL Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and .
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 469.08
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 469.08
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 26.4%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 24.3%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price416.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.5
Support₹396.20
Resistance₹447.90
MA 20₹418.76
MA 50₹441.37
MA 200₹469.08
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Risk Assessment
Beta0.04
Volatility24.28%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.