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BRSAN:BISTBRSAN FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

TRY 516.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at 516.5 TRY, comfortably above the calculated support of 468.25 TRY but well below the 20‑day SMA of 601.14 TRY and the 50‑day SMA of 632.17 TRY, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader neutral trend. RSI at 36.7 suggests the instrument is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative (‑9.84) and the signal line is bearish, flagging lingering downside momentum. Volatility is elevated at roughly 79 % over the past 30 days, and the market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” implying risk‑on behavior despite the price weakness. The beta of –0.25 points to an inverse correlation with the broader BIST, which can provide a hedge but also adds uncertainty in a volatile macro environment. Recent price swings—from a low of 644 TRY in early February to a high of 720 TRY at the end of February—highlight a volatile range‑bound market, reinforced by stable yet below‑average trading volumes. Given these mixed signals, the outlook leans toward a cautious re‑entry opportunity, with the upside potential capped near the 732 TRY resistance until broader macro‑economic and sectoral catalysts shift momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with upside cushion
  • RSI indicating oversold condition
  • Negative MACD but improving momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price still below SMA50 and SMA200
  • High 30‑day volatility
  • Neutral trend direction

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental exposure to infrastructure growth in Turkey
  • Inverse beta offering diversification
  • Potential for price recovery toward 52‑week high

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price516.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityHigh
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.7
SupportTRY 468.25
ResistanceTRY 732.00
MA 20TRY 601.14
MA 50TRY 632.17
MA 200TRY 473.91
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.09

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.25
Volatility78.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.