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DOAS:BISTDOAS FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

TRY 196.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Dogus Otomotiv is trading at 196 TRY, notably below its 20‑day SMA of 208.2 and 50‑day SMA of 219.7, while hovering just above the 200‑day SMA of 191.8. The RSI of 35 signals oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains in a bearish configuration with a negative histogram, suggesting short‑term momentum weakness. Volume has been on a downtrend and the recent March 2 session saw a sharp 7.5% decline to 202.5 TRY on unusually high turnover, underscoring heightened volatility (30‑day ≈ 38%). Despite these pressures, the stock boasts an exceptional 19% dividend yield, a trailing PE of 13.7 and a forward PE near 1.8, and a low beta (0.10) indicating limited market‑wide risk. The Fear & Greed Index at 79.45 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong investor appetite, but the max drawdown of roughly 32% warns of downside risk. Recent price swings from late January through early February, ranging between 221 – 241 TRY, combined with a decreasing volume trend, suggest that the stock is at a pivotal juncture where valuation upside from dividend income and cheap earnings multiples may outweigh short‑term bearish momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near immediate support at 187.6 TRY
  • bearish MACD momentum
  • exceptional dividend yield providing income cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • oversold RSI and cheap forward PE (~1.8)
  • strong dividend yield supporting total return
  • low beta indicating limited market volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • sustainable high dividend policy
  • stable earnings outlook in automotive services
  • moderate macro‑economic exposure with low systematic risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price196
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityHigh
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.2
SupportTRY 187.60
ResistanceTRY 244.80
MA 20TRY 208.20
MA 50TRY 219.74
MA 200TRY 191.81
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility38.47%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.