TRMET:BISTTRMET FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
TRY 146.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TR Anadolu Metal Madencilik (TRMET) is trading at 146.5 TRY, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (154.38) and well above the 50‑day SMA (140.29), indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a MACD signal that turned negative. RSI sits at 48.3, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the price remains anchored above the identified support at 137.8 TRY and below the resistance at 174.2 TRY, giving a clear upside corridor. Volatility is elevated at roughly 49% over the past 30 days, and the volume trend is decreasing, which could foreshadow a liquidity squeeze if buying pressure wanes. The beta calculation shows a negative correlation to the broader market (‑0.75), meaning TRMET may act as a hedge in a declining equity environment, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 77.95 signals extreme greed, reflecting strong investor appetite for commodity exposure. Recent news shows a volatile price path in February and early March, with swings between 135 TRY and 166 TRY, underscoring the importance of monitoring support‑resistance breaches and volume dynamics.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day SMA but bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume trend
- Support level at 137.8 TRY provides downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend indicated by SMA hierarchy
- Negative beta offering market hedge potential
- Extreme greed sentiment supporting commodity demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental tight supply in metal markets
- Low inventory levels sustaining price appreciation
- Strategic position in Turkey’s mining sector with growth prospects
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price146.5
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityHigh
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.3
SupportTRY 137.80
ResistanceTRY 174.20
MA 20TRY 154.38
MA 50TRY 140.29
MA 200TRY 124.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.95
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.75
Volatility49.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.