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TRMET:BISTTRMET FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

TRY 146.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TR Anadolu Metal Madencilik (TRMET) is trading at 146.5 TRY, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (154.38) and well above the 50‑day SMA (140.29), indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a MACD signal that turned negative. RSI sits at 48.3, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the price remains anchored above the identified support at 137.8 TRY and below the resistance at 174.2 TRY, giving a clear upside corridor. Volatility is elevated at roughly 49% over the past 30 days, and the volume trend is decreasing, which could foreshadow a liquidity squeeze if buying pressure wanes. The beta calculation shows a negative correlation to the broader market (‑0.75), meaning TRMET may act as a hedge in a declining equity environment, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 77.95 signals extreme greed, reflecting strong investor appetite for commodity exposure. Recent news shows a volatile price path in February and early March, with swings between 135 TRY and 166 TRY, underscoring the importance of monitoring support‑resistance breaches and volume dynamics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day SMA but bearish MACD signal
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Support level at 137.8 TRY provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish trend indicated by SMA hierarchy
  • Negative beta offering market hedge potential
  • Extreme greed sentiment supporting commodity demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental tight supply in metal markets
  • Low inventory levels sustaining price appreciation
  • Strategic position in Turkey’s mining sector with growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price146.5
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityHigh
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.3
SupportTRY 137.80
ResistanceTRY 174.20
MA 20TRY 154.38
MA 50TRY 140.29
MA 200TRY 124.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.95

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.75
Volatility49.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.