VAKBN:BISTTURKIYE VAKIFLAR BANKASI TAO FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time
TRY 28.90
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Türkiye Vakiflar Bankasi Türk Anonim Ortakligi is priced at TRY 28.90 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have lost 10.4%. RSI sits at 37.0, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near TRY 28.72 and resistance around TRY 31.84.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 37.1%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 31.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 37.1%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 31.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 32.08
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 32.08
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 31.6%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 37.1%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price28.9
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.0
SupportTRY 28.72
ResistanceTRY 31.84
MA 20TRY 30.53
MA 50TRY 31.88
MA 200TRY 32.08
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.88
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility37.12%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.