USAU:NASDAQU.S. Gold Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time
$13.76
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) is trading at $13.76, essentially at its identified support of $13.75 and well below the 20‑day ($15.95) and 50‑day ($15.89) SMAs. The RSI sits at 35, hinting at oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram. Volume is trending upward, but the 30‑day volatility is a steep 62.8% and the computed beta of 1.97 signals pronounced price swings. Market sentiment is extremely greedy (Fear‑Greed Index 83), yet the price action remains constrained.
Fundamental and catalyst view: The company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA (~$16.6 M) and cash‑flow deficits, offset by a solid cash balance of $36 M and negligible debt. Valuation metrics (price‑to‑book ~4.3) appear stretched given the lack of earnings. The most material news is the finalized feasibility study for the CK Gold Project in Wyoming, which could unlock value if positive. Analyst consensus targets around $27.5 imply a >100% upside, but this hinges on successful project development.
Fundamental and catalyst view: The company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA (~$16.6 M) and cash‑flow deficits, offset by a solid cash balance of $36 M and negligible debt. Valuation metrics (price‑to‑book ~4.3) appear stretched given the lack of earnings. The most material news is the finalized feasibility study for the CK Gold Project in Wyoming, which could unlock value if positive. Analyst consensus targets around $27.5 imply a >100% upside, but this hinges on successful project development.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price hovering at technical support
- bearish MACD and SMA alignment
- high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- feasibility study for CK Gold Project pending impact
- increasing trading volume indicating investor interest
- ongoing cash burn with no revenue
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- analyst target price suggests >100% upside
- potential value creation if exploration advances
- strong cash position relative to minimal debt
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-16.5
ROE-55.99%
ROA-25.86%
Debt/Equity0.13
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$-14851737
Free Cash Flow$-10779586
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.2
Support$13.75
Resistance$18.24
MA 20$15.95
MA 50$15.89
MA 200$16.67
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
Target Price$27.55
Upside/Downside100.22%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.97
Volatility62.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.