NESN:SIXNestle S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
CHF 80.05
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nestlé trades at CHF 80.05, just below its 20‑day SMA of 80.77 and comfortably above the identified support at 76.52, while the 50‑day SMA (77.62) remains supportive. Technical momentum is neutral, with an RSI of 50.9 and a bearish MACD histogram (‑0.36), suggesting no strong short‑term directional bias. Volatility is elevated at 21% over the past 30 days, yet the computed beta of 0.06 indicates the stock moves very little with the broader market, reinforcing its defensive character.
Fundamentally, Nestlé delivers solid profitability (ROE 26.5%, operating margin 14.9%) and a generous dividend yield of 3.86% backed by a high payout ratio of 87%. Despite a modest revenue decline of 2.2% and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 175, cash generation remains strong (free cash flow CHF 6.2 bn). Analysts price the stock at a median target of CHF 89, implying roughly 9% upside, and collectively rate it a “buy,” supporting a fair‑to‑undervalued assessment.
Fundamentally, Nestlé delivers solid profitability (ROE 26.5%, operating margin 14.9%) and a generous dividend yield of 3.86% backed by a high payout ratio of 87%. Despite a modest revenue decline of 2.2% and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 175, cash generation remains strong (free cash flow CHF 6.2 bn). Analysts price the stock at a median target of CHF 89, implying roughly 9% upside, and collectively rate it a “buy,” supporting a fair‑to‑undervalued assessment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near 20‑day SMA and support level
- Neutral RSI and bearish MACD histogram
- Stable volume and low beta reducing market risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 9% upside to analyst median target
- Strong cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
- Defensive consumer‑staples positioning
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High ROE and consistent dividend yield
- Global brand diversification across food, health, and pet care
- Resilient demand in consumer defensive sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.20%
Profit Margin10.05%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE26.53%
ROA6.53%
Debt/Equity175.00
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash FlowCHF15.9B
Free Cash FlowCHF6.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.9
SupportCHF 76.52
ResistanceCHF 84.65
MA 20CHF 80.77
MA 50CHF 77.62
MA 200CHF 77.84
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair ValueCHF 13.56
Target PriceCHF 87.50
Upside/Downside9.31%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.86%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.06
Volatility21.05%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.