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NESN:SIXNestle S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

CHF 80.05

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nestlé trades at CHF 80.05, just below its 20‑day SMA of 80.77 and comfortably above the identified support at 76.52, while the 50‑day SMA (77.62) remains supportive. Technical momentum is neutral, with an RSI of 50.9 and a bearish MACD histogram (‑0.36), suggesting no strong short‑term directional bias. Volatility is elevated at 21% over the past 30 days, yet the computed beta of 0.06 indicates the stock moves very little with the broader market, reinforcing its defensive character.
Fundamentally, Nestlé delivers solid profitability (ROE 26.5%, operating margin 14.9%) and a generous dividend yield of 3.86% backed by a high payout ratio of 87%. Despite a modest revenue decline of 2.2% and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 175, cash generation remains strong (free cash flow CHF 6.2 bn). Analysts price the stock at a median target of CHF 89, implying roughly 9% upside, and collectively rate it a “buy,” supporting a fair‑to‑undervalued assessment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 20‑day SMA and support level
  • Neutral RSI and bearish MACD histogram
  • Stable volume and low beta reducing market risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 9% upside to analyst median target
  • Strong cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
  • Defensive consumer‑staples positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High ROE and consistent dividend yield
  • Global brand diversification across food, health, and pet care
  • Resilient demand in consumer defensive sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.20%
Profit Margin10.05%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE26.53%
ROA6.53%
Debt/Equity175.00
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash FlowCHF15.9B
Free Cash FlowCHF6.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.9
SupportCHF 76.52
ResistanceCHF 84.65
MA 20CHF 80.77
MA 50CHF 77.62
MA 200CHF 77.84
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 13.56
Target PriceCHF 87.50
Upside/Downside9.31%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility21.05%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.