UNOMINDA:NSEUNOMINDA FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
₹1,013.20
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Uno Minda is trading at ₹1013.2, well under its 20‑day SMA of ₹1157 and 50‑day SMA of ₹1189, with an RSI of 28 signalling oversold conditions. The MACD line sits at –39.2, well below its signal at –24.7, reinforcing a bearish momentum, while volume is trending higher, suggesting a potential short‑term accumulation. Despite the technical weakness, the company posted its highest ever quarterly revenue of ₹5,018 cr in Q3 FY26 – a 20% YoY increase – and maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.24%, indicating solid underlying fundamentals. The market’s fear‑greed index sits at 72.9 (Greed), yet the stock has experienced a 25.8% drawdown from recent highs, highlighting a disconnect between sentiment and price.
Given the bearish technical backdrop but strong earnings momentum, the near‑term risk is elevated, but medium‑ to long‑term outlook improves as revenue growth sustains and valuation multiples (PE ~51) may compress if the price rebounds toward its support at ₹1,006 and resistance at ₹1,249.
Given the bearish technical backdrop but strong earnings momentum, the near‑term risk is elevated, but medium‑ to long‑term outlook improves as revenue growth sustains and valuation multiples (PE ~51) may compress if the price rebounds toward its support at ₹1,006 and resistance at ₹1,249.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Oversold RSI and bearish MACD
- Increasing volume indicating possible bottoming
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Record quarterly revenue growth (20% YoY)
- Strong earnings momentum despite price weakness
- Potential valuation re‑rating as price approaches support
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained top‑line growth trajectory
- Low beta and limited currency exposure
- Fundamental resilience in a competitive automotive components sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1013.2
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelHigh
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI28.0
Support₹1,006.60
Resistance₹1,249.00
MA 20₹1,157.41
MA 50₹1,189.53
MA 200₹1,195.96
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.09
Volatility41.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.