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KPITTECH:NSEKPITTECH FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

₹662.05

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

KPIT Technologies is trading at INR 662.05, well below its 20‑day SMA of 769.86 and the 50‑day SMA of 961.73, and just above the 200‑day SMA of 1,166.99, indicating a deep bearish deviation. RSI is at 14.45, deep in oversold territory, while the MACD line sits at –84.21 versus a signal at –83.57, confirming a bearish momentum signal. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the 30‑day volatility is high at 35.6%, suggesting fragile price support at the identified level of INR 652.90. The market sentiment index reads “Greed” at 72.88, implying that despite technical weakness, broader market appetite may be supporting a rebound. However, the beta is low (0.23 computed, –0.45 quoted), indicating limited correlation with broader market moves, and the max drawdown of –53.44% underscores substantial downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price well below short‑term SMAs
  • Bearish MACD and oversold RSI
  • Decreasing volume and high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential technical bottom near support
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 9.4% YoY (rupee terms)
  • Greed market sentiment may provide upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental upside from earnings growth and 1.25% dividend yield
  • Reasonable valuation (PE ~25) relative to sector
  • Low beta suggests defensive characteristics over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price662.05
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI14.5
Support₹652.90
Resistance₹891.60
MA 20₹769.86
MA 50₹961.73
MA 200₹1,166.99
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility35.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.