KPITTECH:NSEKPITTECH FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
₹662.05
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KPIT Technologies is trading at INR 662.05, well below its 20‑day SMA of 769.86 and the 50‑day SMA of 961.73, and just above the 200‑day SMA of 1,166.99, indicating a deep bearish deviation. RSI is at 14.45, deep in oversold territory, while the MACD line sits at –84.21 versus a signal at –83.57, confirming a bearish momentum signal. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the 30‑day volatility is high at 35.6%, suggesting fragile price support at the identified level of INR 652.90. The market sentiment index reads “Greed” at 72.88, implying that despite technical weakness, broader market appetite may be supporting a rebound. However, the beta is low (0.23 computed, –0.45 quoted), indicating limited correlation with broader market moves, and the max drawdown of –53.44% underscores substantial downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Price well below short‑term SMAs
- Bearish MACD and oversold RSI
- Decreasing volume and high volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential technical bottom near support
- Quarterly revenue growth of 9.4% YoY (rupee terms)
- Greed market sentiment may provide upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental upside from earnings growth and 1.25% dividend yield
- Reasonable valuation (PE ~25) relative to sector
- Low beta suggests defensive characteristics over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price662.05
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI14.5
Support₹652.90
Resistance₹891.60
MA 20₹769.86
MA 50₹961.73
MA 200₹1,166.99
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.23
Volatility35.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.