MGROS:BISTMIGROS TICARET FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
TRY 591.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Migros Ticaret A.S. is trading at 591.5 TRY, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of 525.7 but below the short‑term SMAs (~633), signalling a long‑term bullish backdrop with near‑term weakness. The RSI of 37 points to oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains bearish (histogram ~‑5.8), indicating lingering downside pressure. Price is hugging the identified support at 558 and faces resistance near 695.5. Elevated 30‑day volatility at 32.6% and a slightly negative beta (‑0.17) suggest modest market‑neutral behavior, while the Fear & Greed Index at 78.48 (“Extreme Greed”) may fuel buying interest.
Valuation appears attractive with a forward P/E of 7.28 and a dividend yield of 1.73%, supporting income‑oriented cases. Stable volumes and a sizable market cap (~105 bn TRY) mitigate liquidity worries. Macro sensitivities are moderate – USD and Turkish rates matter but are not dominant, and geopolitical exposure is limited. The blend of long‑term trend, attractive pricing, and defensive fundamentals underpins a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Valuation appears attractive with a forward P/E of 7.28 and a dividend yield of 1.73%, supporting income‑oriented cases. Stable volumes and a sizable market cap (~105 bn TRY) mitigate liquidity worries. Macro sensitivities are moderate – USD and Turkish rates matter but are not dominant, and geopolitical exposure is limited. The blend of long‑term trend, attractive pricing, and defensive fundamentals underpins a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support at 558
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Bearish MACD momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term price above 200‑day SMA
- Attractive forward P/E of 7.28
- Stable dividend yield of 1.73%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong market position and large market cap
- Low beta suggesting defensive profile
- Moderate macro sensitivities with limited geopolitical risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price591.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI37.5
SupportTRY 558.00
ResistanceTRY 695.50
MA 20TRY 633.85
MA 50TRY 633.28
MA 200TRY 525.71
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.48
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.17
Volatility32.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.