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MGROS:BISTMIGROS TICARET FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

TRY 591.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Migros Ticaret A.S. is trading at 591.5 TRY, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of 525.7 but below the short‑term SMAs (~633), signalling a long‑term bullish backdrop with near‑term weakness. The RSI of 37 points to oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains bearish (histogram ~‑5.8), indicating lingering downside pressure. Price is hugging the identified support at 558 and faces resistance near 695.5. Elevated 30‑day volatility at 32.6% and a slightly negative beta (‑0.17) suggest modest market‑neutral behavior, while the Fear & Greed Index at 78.48 (“Extreme Greed”) may fuel buying interest.
Valuation appears attractive with a forward P/E of 7.28 and a dividend yield of 1.73%, supporting income‑oriented cases. Stable volumes and a sizable market cap (~105 bn TRY) mitigate liquidity worries. Macro sensitivities are moderate – USD and Turkish rates matter but are not dominant, and geopolitical exposure is limited. The blend of long‑term trend, attractive pricing, and defensive fundamentals underpins a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support at 558
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Bearish MACD momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term price above 200‑day SMA
  • Attractive forward P/E of 7.28
  • Stable dividend yield of 1.73%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong market position and large market cap
  • Low beta suggesting defensive profile
  • Moderate macro sensitivities with limited geopolitical risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price591.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.5
SupportTRY 558.00
ResistanceTRY 695.50
MA 20TRY 633.85
MA 50TRY 633.28
MA 200TRY 525.71
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.48

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.17
Volatility32.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.