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UNITDSPR:NSEUNITDSPR FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

₹1,382.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Spirits is trading at INR 1,382.1, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (1,391.2) but below the 50‑day SMA (1,372.8), indicating a neutral price stance. The RSI sits at 50.3, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the recent price resilience despite a 29% 30‑day volatility and a modest negative beta, which reduces market‑wide systematic risk. Fundamental metrics show a high trailing P/E of 57 and a forward P/E of 49, reflecting premium valuation, yet the dividend yield of 0.85% and a price‑to‑book of 11.68 provide some income cushion. Recent earnings commentary highlighted a 10%‑14% net sales value growth and a 6% volume uptick outside Maharashtra, underscoring resilient demand in core markets.
Strategically, the stock sits near a technical support zone at INR 1,306.8 and below a resistance ceiling of INR 1,431.3, offering upside potential if the MACD crossover turns positive. The increasing volume and positive earnings momentum suggest that the neutral trend could shift bullishly in the medium term, while the strong market cap and stable dividend support a longer‑term hold stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • MACD bearish signal
  • Volume increasing but price near resistance
  • Neutral RSI around 50

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Earnings‑driven sales growth (10‑14% NSV)
  • Potential breakout above resistance at 1,431.3
  • Improving volume outside key states

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong brand positioning in Indian spirits market
  • Stable dividend yield and robust market cap
  • Resilient demand fundamentals despite valuation premium

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1382.1
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.3
Support₹1,306.80
Resistance₹1,431.30
MA 20₹1,391.16
MA 50₹1,372.84
MA 200₹1,387.81
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.13
Volatility29.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.