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TTKOM:BISTTURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

TRY 60.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is currently trading at 60.9 TRY, comfortably above the 57‑point support level but still below the 20‑day SMA of 66.34, indicating a modest upside cushion. RSI at 37.1 suggests the shares are approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reflecting lingering bearish momentum. Despite the bearish MACD, the broader trend direction is bullish and the price sits well above the 200‑day SMA of 57.64, supporting a longer‑term uptrend. Volume has been decreasing, which together with a 34.8% 30‑day volatility points to a quieter market environment that could lead to sharper moves on new information. The beta of –0.22 signals an inverse correlation to the market, offering a defensive edge amid broader equity swings. Additionally, the fear‑greed index at 72.88 (Greed) underscores a risk‑on sentiment that may favor equity exposure.
Given the current price proximity to the 57‑point support and the lack of recent news catalysts, the short‑term outlook calls for caution, but the alignment of price above key moving averages and a bullish macro sentiment supports a medium‑term buying case. Investors should monitor volume trends and any shifts in the MACD, as a reversal could quickly alter the risk profile. Over the long horizon, the low beta and stable market‑cap suggest the stock will remain a steady component of a diversified portfolio, though the absence of dividend yield limits income‑focused appeal.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price approaching support at 57
  • RSI indicating near‑oversold conditions
  • decreasing volume suggesting caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price trading above 20‑day SMA
  • bullish trend despite bearish MACD
  • fear/greed index in Greed zone supporting risk‑on sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • stable market‑cap and low beta
  • balanced supply‑demand regime
  • no dividend yield limiting income appeal

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price60.9
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.1
SupportTRY 57.00
ResistanceTRY 75.65
MA 20TRY 66.34
MA 50TRY 64.85
MA 200TRY 57.64
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.22
Volatility34.76%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.