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TECHM:NSETECH MAHINDRA FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

₹1,332.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tech Mahindra is trading at INR 1,332.8, comfortably above the computed support of INR 1,304 but well below the resistance at INR 1,548, indicating a modest upside cushion. The 14‑day RSI of 25.9 and a bullish MACD histogram suggest the stock is oversold and may be primed for a short‑term rebound, while the decreasing volume trend adds a cautionary note on momentum. With an exceptionally low beta (≈0.03) and a market‑wide fear/greed index at 72.88 ("Greed"), the equity appears insulated from broad market swings yet still attractive to risk‑seeking investors. The forward P/E of 17.6 versus a trailing P/E of 25.6 reflects improving earnings expectations, bolstered by the recent AI‑driven partnership with FICO, which could accelerate revenue growth in the digital services segment.
Given the 30‑day volatility of nearly 30% and a max drawdown of –24.7%, investors should balance the upside potential from the technical bounce and strategic partnership against the medium‑term uncertainty in volume and liquidity. The dividend yield of 3.33% adds income appeal, supporting a buy‑and‑hold thesis for investors seeking both capital appreciation and cash flow, while the neutral trend direction advises against aggressive short‑term positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Support level near current price offering downside protection
  • Bullish MACD histogram despite neutral trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E compression signaling earnings improvement
  • AI partnership with FICO expanding service addressable market
  • Attractive dividend yield supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in AI‑driven digital transformation
  • Sustained sector tailwinds for Indian IT services
  • Strong cash generation enabling dividend continuity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1332.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI25.9
Support₹1,304.10
Resistance₹1,548.00
MA 20₹1,396.56
MA 50₹1,549.28
MA 200₹1,533.93
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility29.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.