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TDW:NYSETidewater Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time

$86.88

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tidewater Inc. is trading above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend, while the 200‑day average remains well below current levels, underscoring longer‑term upside. The RSI sits in the mid‑50s, suggesting neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram has turned negative with the signal line above the MACD line, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued against its discounted cash‑flow estimate and carries a low price‑to‑earnings multiple relative to the industry. Strong cash generation, a solid balance sheet with near‑equal cash and debt, and exposure to growing offshore wind projects offset recent revenue declines and a negative operating margin. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index in the “Extreme Greed” zone), but the technical bearish divergence and proximity to the identified resistance level temper short‑term optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching the identified resistance level
  • MACD histogram negative indicating possible near‑term pullback
  • Neutral RSI and stable volume suggest limited upside in the immediate horizon

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value substantially above current price, implying upside potential
  • Robust operating and free cash flow with a low debt‑to‑equity profile
  • Sector recovery prospects and expanding offshore wind demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in offshore marine services for both oil & gas and renewable projects
  • Sustained cash generation and manageable leverage supporting future investments
  • Long‑term secular trends toward offshore energy development and windfarm construction

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-43.10%
Profit Margin24.74%
P/E Ratio13.1
ROE26.97%
ROA7.76%
Debt/Equity45.45
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$379.1M
Free Cash Flow$443.1M
Industry P/E22.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support$80.29
Resistance$93.13
MA 20$86.60
MA 50$82.15
MA 200$62.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.88

Valuation

Fair Value$118.64
Target Price$84.43
Upside/Downside-2.82%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.71
Volatility33.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.