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TDW:NYSETidewater Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time

$73.31

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tidewater Inc. is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, offering roughly double‑digit upside potential. The stock sits just above a key technical support level while the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages remain higher, indicating a modest bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and weakening volume. Fundamentals show a solid cash position, positive free cash flow and a respectable return on equity, yet revenue has contracted sharply and operating margins are negative, highlighting short‑term earnings pressure.
The energy‑focused offshore services sector carries medium‑to‑high cyclical and regulatory risk, but Tidewater’s diversified geographic footprint and exposure to emerging offshore wind projects provide a hedge against pure oil‑price volatility. With a low beta, modest volatility relative to the broader market, and an extreme‑greed sentiment reading, the risk‑reward profile leans toward a value‑oriented entry for investors comfortable with sector headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near a technical support zone
  • Bearish MACD histogram signaling short‑term weakness
  • Decreasing volume reducing immediate price momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap with DCF fair value indicating upside
  • Strong free cash flow and low leverage
  • Diversification into offshore wind supporting future earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for offshore marine services
  • Revenue contraction and negative operating margins pose execution risk
  • Low beta and solid balance sheet provide downside protection

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-43.10%
Profit Margin22.16%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE24.01%
ROA7.47%
Debt/Equity45.45
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$317.9M
Free Cash Flow$385.1M
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.6
Support$67.37
Resistance$79.61
MA 20$74.26
MA 50$73.34
MA 200$68.37
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.8

Valuation

Fair Value$100.10
Target Price$86.57
Upside/Downside18.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility40.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.