We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

2670:TSEABC-MART, INC. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

¥2,542.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ABC‑Mart is trading just above its 20‑day SMA (2,579) and 50‑day SMA (2,561) while remaining below the 200‑day SMA (2,782), indicating a neutral price stance. The RSI sits at 46, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but the MACD is bearish (line – 6.69 vs signal – 2.66) and the stock faces a near‑term resistance at 2,677 with support around 2,440. Volume is on an upward trend and 30‑day volatility is elevated at over 21%, while a negative beta (‑0.17) points to low market correlation; however, the historical max drawdown of ~25% flags downside risk.
Fundamentally, the company delivers stable revenue growth (0.5%) and strong profitability margins (gross ≈ 50%, operating ≈ 14%, net ≈ 12%). Valuation appears attractive: a trailing PE of ~13.8 and price‑to‑book of 1.65 sit well below the analyst median target of 2,950, implying roughly 20% upside. The dividend yield of 2.73% with a payout ratio under 40% appears sustainable, and the “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (78) reflects bullish market appetite.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support‑resistance corridor
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Increasing volume indicating potential short‑term bounce

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap with ~20% upside to median target
  • Solid profit margins and cash generation
  • Sustainable dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong brand presence across Japan and overseas markets
  • Consistent earnings and low market beta
  • Attractive dividend and long‑term growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.50%
Profit Margin11.99%
P/E Ratio13.8
Debt/Equity1.50
P/B Ratio1.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.2
Support¥2,440.00
Resistance¥2,677.00
MA 20¥2,579.38
MA 50¥2,560.68
MA 200¥2,781.76
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Target Price¥3,071.25
Upside/Downside20.82%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.73%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.17
Volatility21.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.