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TCS:NSETATA CONSULTANCY FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time

₹2,198.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TCS is trading at ₹2,198.9, barely above its 52‑week low of ₹2,192 and the identified support level of ₹2,192, while the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs sit at ₹2,294.8, ₹2,404.1 and ₹2,859.9 respectively, underscoring a pronounced bearish price positioning. RSI at 37.6 hints at modest oversold conditions, yet the MACD line (-43.5) below its signal (-42.5) confirms lingering negative momentum. Volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting some accumulation despite the broader bearish bias. The stock’s beta of -0.20 indicates an inverse relationship to the market, offering a hedge against systemic moves, while a 30‑day volatility of 37% and a historical max drawdown of 37% signal heightened price swings. A dividend yield of 5.64% adds a defensive income component, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 83 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong market optimism.
Recent news adds nuance: Q4 FY26 results beat expectations with revenue up 9.6% YoY and profit up 12%, reinforcing earnings momentum; the announced salary hikes convey confidence in talent retention amid AI‑related uncertainty; and a final dividend of ₹31 per share further boosts yield appeal. These fundamentals, combined with the technical setup, suggest limited upside to the near‑term support but a more favorable outlook for medium‑ to long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above key support
  • Increasing volume indicating potential accumulation
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Quarterly earnings beat and revenue growth
  • Salary hike signaling employee morale
  • Negative beta offering market hedge

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong dividend policy
  • Consistent earnings growth trajectory
  • Fundamental resilience in the Indian IT sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price2198.9
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.6
Support₹2,192.00
Resistance₹2,457.40
MA 20₹2,294.79
MA 50₹2,404.07
MA 200₹2,859.89
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.20
Volatility37.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.