SWIGGY:NSESWIGGY FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
₹282.15
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Swiggy Limited (SWIGGY.NS) is trading at ₹282.15, well below its 20‑day SMA of ₹308.81, 50‑day SMA of ₹326.99 and 200‑day SMA of ₹383.60, indicating a pronounced bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 30.36, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD line (-13.24) is under the signal line (-11.49) and the histogram is negative, confirming bearish momentum. Volume trends are increasing, supporting the recent price decline, and the technical support level aligns with the 52‑week low of ₹271.10, with resistance around ₹343. However, the Fear & Greed Index reads 72.88 (Greed), implying market participants remain optimistic despite the downside.
The latest earnings report triggered an 8% tumble and prompted analysts to cut price targets, reinforcing short‑term downside risk. A max drawdown of 38.73% over the recent period highlights the stock’s volatility (41.23% 30‑day). Given the bearish technical setup, earnings weakness, and elevated drawdown, the short‑term outlook favors a defensive stance, while medium‑term positioning may shift to neutral as the market digests fundamentals, and a longer‑term view could become more favorable if the company stabilizes earnings and restores growth momentum.
The latest earnings report triggered an 8% tumble and prompted analysts to cut price targets, reinforcing short‑term downside risk. A max drawdown of 38.73% over the recent period highlights the stock’s volatility (41.23% 30‑day). Given the bearish technical setup, earnings weakness, and elevated drawdown, the short‑term outlook favors a defensive stance, while medium‑term positioning may shift to neutral as the market digests fundamentals, and a longer‑term view could become more favorable if the company stabilizes earnings and restores growth momentum.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Negative MACD and bearish momentum
- Recent earnings miss and price target cuts
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Increasing volume indicating potential accumulation
- Support near 52‑week low providing a floor
- Market sentiment still in 'Greed' mode
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Large market cap and dominant market position
- Potential earnings recovery as the food‑delivery market stabilizes
- Oversold technical indicators suggesting upside reversion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price282.15
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.4
Support₹271.10
Resistance₹343.00
MA 20₹308.81
MA 50₹326.99
MA 200₹383.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.12
Volatility41.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.