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SWIGGY:NSESWIGGY FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₹282.15

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Swiggy Limited (SWIGGY.NS) is trading at ₹282.15, well below its 20‑day SMA of ₹308.81, 50‑day SMA of ₹326.99 and 200‑day SMA of ₹383.60, indicating a pronounced bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 30.36, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD line (-13.24) is under the signal line (-11.49) and the histogram is negative, confirming bearish momentum. Volume trends are increasing, supporting the recent price decline, and the technical support level aligns with the 52‑week low of ₹271.10, with resistance around ₹343. However, the Fear & Greed Index reads 72.88 (Greed), implying market participants remain optimistic despite the downside.
The latest earnings report triggered an 8% tumble and prompted analysts to cut price targets, reinforcing short‑term downside risk. A max drawdown of 38.73% over the recent period highlights the stock’s volatility (41.23% 30‑day). Given the bearish technical setup, earnings weakness, and elevated drawdown, the short‑term outlook favors a defensive stance, while medium‑term positioning may shift to neutral as the market digests fundamentals, and a longer‑term view could become more favorable if the company stabilizes earnings and restores growth momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Negative MACD and bearish momentum
  • Recent earnings miss and price target cuts

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Increasing volume indicating potential accumulation
  • Support near 52‑week low providing a floor
  • Market sentiment still in 'Greed' mode

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Large market cap and dominant market position
  • Potential earnings recovery as the food‑delivery market stabilizes
  • Oversold technical indicators suggesting upside reversion

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price282.15
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI30.4
Support₹271.10
Resistance₹343.00
MA 20₹308.81
MA 50₹326.99
MA 200₹383.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.12
Volatility41.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.