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SUNB:NYSESunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$82.37

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sunbelt Rentals (SUNB) trades at $82.37, roughly 2% above its DCF‑derived fair value and well below the industry average PE of 30.6, suggesting a modestly fair valuation despite a high price‑to‑book multiple. Revenue growth remains modest at 2.7% YoY, but gross margins are exceptional at 94.8% and operating margins sit near 19%. The company generates robust free cash flow ($4.05 bn) and carries a sizable dividend yield of 2.38%, which appears sustainable given its cash generation capacity. Recent material news highlights a share‑repurchase program and upcoming Q4/FY2026 earnings release, underscoring management confidence. Technical indicators are bullish: the price sits above the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs, RSI is at 60, and MACD shows a bullish crossover, while volume is on an upward trend. However, the stock is approaching its 52‑week resistance at $84.48, and the 30‑day volatility of nearly 40% combined with a beta of ~1.5 signals heightened price swings. The overall risk profile is moderate, with sector exposure to industrial cycles, modest regulatory concerns, and limited geographic concentration in North America and the UK. Given these dynamics, the outlook balances strong cash fundamentals and dividend appeal against valuation proximity to resistance and market volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 52‑week resistance
  • Bullish technical momentum but high short‑term volatility
  • Pending earnings release could trigger price swing

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Share‑repurchase program indicating confidence
  • Strong free cash flow supporting dividend and buybacks
  • Fundamentals priced below industry PE average

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high margins and cash generation
  • Diversified equipment‑rental franchise across US, UK, Canada
  • Dividend yield and low payout ratio suggest durability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.70%
Profit Margin12.68%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE18.14%
ROA6.71%
Debt/Equity137.45
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$4.0B
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.1
Support$73.24
Resistance$84.48
MA 20$78.43
MA 50$74.43
MA 200$73.02
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$120.48
Target Price$80.64
Upside/Downside-2.10%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.40
Volatility39.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.