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SURG:NASDAQSurgePays, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time

$0.57

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

SURG is trading at $0.57, well below its 20‑day (0.66), 50‑day (0.75) and 200‑day (1.86) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 41, indicating the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a clear reversal. MACD remains in bearish territory with the line (-0.055) under its signal (-0.054) and a negative histogram, confirming downward momentum. The price is hovering near the identified support of $0.46 and far from the resistance at $0.93, limiting upside potential in the near term. Volatility is extreme at 170 % over the past 30 days, and a beta of roughly 1.27 suggests the stock moves more aggressively than the broader market. The max drawdown of ‑85 % underscores the historical price fragility.
Revenue for FY2025 was $57 million, down from $60.9 million YoY, reflecting the termination of a key program despite a headline 68.7 % growth figure that appears unsustainable. Gross margin is deeply negative (‑19 %) and operating margin sits at ‑58 %, with a net loss of $1.80 per share, indicating that the business is still far from profitability. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both strongly negative, while cash on hand ($1.73 million) is dwarfed by total debt of $13.6 million, creating a strained liquidity profile. The company’s book value per share is –$0.73, resulting in a negative price‑to‑book ratio and reinforcing balance‑sheet weakness. However, the forward P/E of 9.5 is well below the industry average of 18.9, hinting that the market may be undervaluing future earnings potential if the cost‑cutting plan succeeds. Recent management commentary emphasizes strategic cost reductions and diversification into fintech services, which could stabilize cash burn and open modest growth avenues.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • price below all major moving averages
  • bearish MACD and RSI near oversold
  • proximity to support level with high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • cost‑cutting initiatives and revenue diversification
  • forward P/E substantially below industry average
  • persistent negative cash flow and high debt burden

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside if restructuring improves profitability
  • significant balance‑sheet weakness limiting upside
  • substantial market volatility and beta exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth68.70%
Profit Margin-63.32%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROA-117.95%
P/B Ratio-0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-21293152
Free Cash Flow$-8233050
Industry P/E18.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.0
Support$0.46
Resistance$0.93
MA 20$0.66
MA 50$0.75
MA 200$1.86
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Valuation

Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside774.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.27
Volatility170.19%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.