SUNS:NASDAQSunrise Realty Trust, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time
$7.63
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sunrise Realty Trust (SUNS) is trading at $7.63, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a clear bearish technical stance. The RSI sits around 43, suggesting limited upside momentum, while the MACD histogram shows a modest bullish blip that is unlikely to reverse the prevailing downtrend. Price action is hovering near the identified support level of $7.37 and faces resistance around $8.09, with volume trending lower, reinforcing the short‑term weakness.
On the fundamentals side, SUNS boasts a very low trailing P/E of about 8.2 and a price‑to‑book of 0.56, positioning it as potentially undervalued against its peers (industry average P/E ~34). However, the dividend yield of 15.7% is supported by a payout ratio exceeding 120% and negative operating cash flow, raising serious sustainability concerns. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with $122 million in debt versus roughly $6.4 million in cash, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 60%. Despite modest revenue growth of 4.6% and strong profit margins on paper, the company’s cash generation issues and high leverage temper the attractiveness of its valuation discounts.
On the fundamentals side, SUNS boasts a very low trailing P/E of about 8.2 and a price‑to‑book of 0.56, positioning it as potentially undervalued against its peers (industry average P/E ~34). However, the dividend yield of 15.7% is supported by a payout ratio exceeding 120% and negative operating cash flow, raising serious sustainability concerns. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with $122 million in debt versus roughly $6.4 million in cash, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 60%. Despite modest revenue growth of 4.6% and strong profit margins on paper, the company’s cash generation issues and high leverage temper the attractiveness of its valuation discounts.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- Unsustainable dividend payout and negative cash flow
- Upcoming earnings release adds near‑term uncertainty
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap (low P/E, P/B) relative to market and peers
- Potential upside of ~50% to analyst target prices
- Opportunity to capture earnings improvement if loan origination picks up
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and debt service obligations
- Dividend sustainability risk persists over longer horizons
- Mortgage REIT sector remains sensitive to interest‑rate cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin62.13%
P/E Ratio8.2
ROE8.20%
ROA3.87%
Debt/Equity67.05
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-3430578
Industry P/E33.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.8
Support$7.37
Resistance$8.09
MA 20$7.70
MA 50$8.33
MA 200$9.59
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09
Valuation
Target Price$11.44
Upside/Downside49.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield15.73%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.89
Volatility27.62%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.