SUN:NYSESunoco LP Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$65.32
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sunoco LP trades at $65.32, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of $58.5 but below the 20‑day ($67.5) and 50‑day ($66.9) averages, indicating short‑term weakness within a longer‑term uptrend. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 16.7 is well under the industry average of 21.5 and the price‑to‑book of 1.37 suggests the stock is undervalued. The dividend yield of 5.74% is compelling, yet a payout ratio near 93% and free cash flow that falls short of the annual dividend raise sustainability concerns.
The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 185, and the company’s volatility sits at 31% over the past month, flagging heightened price swings. Recent earnings showed an EPS beat (2.85 vs. expectations) but revenue missed, and the stock slipped 2% pre‑market. Technical indicators are mixed – RSI at 45 signals neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest caution. Overall, Sunoco offers a value‑oriented play with a strong dividend, but investors must weigh the debt burden, volatility, and dividend sustainability before committing.
The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 185, and the company’s volatility sits at 31% over the past month, flagging heightened price swings. Recent earnings showed an EPS beat (2.85 vs. expectations) but revenue missed, and the stock slipped 2% pre‑market. Technical indicators are mixed – RSI at 45 signals neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest caution. Overall, Sunoco offers a value‑oriented play with a strong dividend, but investors must weigh the debt burden, volatility, and dividend sustainability before committing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above the $63.76 support level
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal limited upside
- Dividend payout ratio approaching unsustainable levels
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation discount relative to industry peers
- Attractive 5.74% dividend yield if cash flow improves
- Potential upside toward the $72.88 resistance level
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio may constrain future growth
- Energy sector regulatory and transition risks
- Sustained dividend income contingent on cash‑flow stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth106.40%
Profit Margin3.14%
P/E Ratio16.7
ROE15.42%
ROA4.39%
Debt/Equity184.68
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$1.5B
Free Cash Flow$115.9M
Industry P/E21.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.0
Support$63.76
Resistance$72.88
MA 20$67.50
MA 50$66.89
MA 200$58.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$74.13
Upside/Downside13.48%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.74%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.12
Volatility31.27%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.