SU:NYSESuncor Energy Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time
$65.80
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Suncor Energy (SU) trades at $65.8, roughly 5% below its DCF‑derived fair value and well under the industry average PE of 21.8, suggesting modest undervaluation. Revenue growth of 17.5% YoY, a solid ROE of 14%, and a free cash flow generation of $6.68 bn underpin a resilient balance sheet, while a dividend yield of 2.64% with a 44% payout ratio points to sustainable shareholder returns. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD is bullish, RSI sits at 65 (overbought), and price hovers just below the $66.79 resistance level, with volume trending downwards and 30‑day volatility elevated at ~33%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance and elevated RSI indicating short‑term overbought conditions
- Upcoming Q2 earnings release (Aug 4) could clarify momentum
- Decreasing volume suggests waning short‑term buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to DCF and peer PE multiples
- Strong cash flow and sustainable dividend yield
- Continued revenue growth and solid operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend policy with attractive yield
- Robust ROE and low debt‑to‑equity profile for an integrated energy player
- Long‑term exposure to diversified oil‑sand, upstream and downstream assets despite transition risks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.50%
Profit Margin12.39%
P/E Ratio17.1
ROE13.97%
ROA5.95%
Debt/Equity32.36
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$13.1B
Free Cash Flow$6.7B
Industry P/E21.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI65.5
Support$53.29
Resistance$66.79
MA 20$60.98
MA 50$61.23
MA 200$54.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.54
Valuation
Fair Value$140.60
Target Price$68.97
Upside/Downside4.82%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.64%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.19
Volatility32.69%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.