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SU:NYSESuncor Energy Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time

$67.55

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Suncor Energy is trading in a bullish technical environment, with short‑term averages comfortably above longer‑term averages and a MACD histogram that remains in positive territory. The RSI sits in the upper mid‑range, indicating continued buying momentum but not yet overbought. Price action is hugging a key resistance level while daily volume has been tapering, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback.
Fundamentally, the stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple sits below the industry average, and the dividend yield is attractive with a payout ratio well under the sustainability threshold. A discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value notably lower than the current market price, implying downside risk. Strong operating cash flow and a solid free‑cash‑flow generation underpin the dividend’s durability. However, the energy sector’s inherent commodity volatility, heightened regulatory scrutiny on carbon emissions, and exposure to geopolitically sensitive regions add layers of risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near a well‑defined resistance level
  • declining trading volume
  • DCF‑derived fair value below current price

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • strong cash‑flow generation
  • valuation gap between market price and peer‑adjusted fundamentals

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • exposure to long‑term commodity cycles
  • potential regulatory headwinds on oil‑sand operations
  • steady dividend and balance‑sheet strength

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.90%
Profit Margin12.10%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE13.20%
ROA5.62%
Debt/Equity32.95
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$12.8B
Free Cash Flow$6.4B
Industry P/E22.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support$59.27
Resistance$68.62
MA 20$64.53
MA 50$62.06
MA 200$48.18
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Valuation

Fair Value$61.87
Target Price$62.04
Upside/Downside-8.16%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.58%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility27.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.