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SU:NYSESuncor Energy Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$63.97

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Suncor Energy trades around $64, comfortably above its near‑term support and below the 52‑week high, with the 20‑day SMA above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, signaling a bullish bias. The RSI sits in the low‑mid 40s, indicating room for upside without overbought pressure. Fundamentally, revenue growth of roughly 17% YoY, solid operating margins and a forward PE under 12 suggest the stock is priced well below its intrinsic value, as the DCF model implies a fair value more than double the current price.
Recent material news includes the declaration of a dividend and the Q1 earnings call, both confirming a dividend yield near 2.7% and a payout ratio under 45%, supporting dividend sustainability. The company’s strong cash generation, low leverage relative to peers, and a stable volume profile further underpin a favorable risk‑adjusted profile. However, high 30‑day volatility and exposure to commodity price swings and regulatory scrutiny in the oil‑sand sector temper the upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited upside
  • MACD histogram negative signaling short‑term bearish pressure
  • Stable volume and dividend confirmation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to DCF fair value
  • Revenue growth and improving margins
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Integrated energy platform provides diversified cash flow
  • Long‑term commodity exposure balanced by hedging and downstream operations
  • Strong dividend track record and solid balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.50%
Profit Margin12.39%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE13.97%
ROA5.95%
Debt/Equity32.36
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$13.1B
Free Cash Flow$6.7B
Industry P/E20.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI42.9
Support$62.74
Resistance$70.29
MA 20$66.90
MA 50$65.25
MA 200$50.52
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Fair Value$143.12
Target Price$63.98
Upside/Downside0.02%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.69%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.24
Volatility36.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.