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STUB:NYSEStubHub Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$11.46

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

StubHub has turned a corner. The latest quarter delivered a profit after a prolonged loss period, driven by double‑digit revenue growth and an expanding adjusted EBITDA margin. Technicals show the short‑term average price above the medium‑term average, a bullish MACD histogram, and an RSI perched in overbought territory, while trading volume has been tapering. Market sentiment is highly positive, reflected in an extreme‑greed reading on the fear‑and‑greed index, and analysts have upgraded the consensus to a buy with a median target well above the current price.
The valuation picture is compelling: a discounted cash‑flow model indicates a fair value far above today’s trading level, implying notable upside potential. However, the stock carries elevated systematic risk, with a high beta and pronounced price swings, and faces regulatory scrutiny common to ticket‑resale platforms. Investors should weigh the strong turnaround and upside against the volatility and sector‑specific risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Quarterly earnings beat and profit swing
  • Positive MACD and SMA crossover
  • Analyst upgrades and bullish sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth trajectory
  • DCF‑derived upside relative to price
  • Continued AI‑driven marketplace enhancements

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in live‑event ticketing
  • Improving balance‑sheet dynamics after debt reduction
  • Potential for market share expansion as live events rebound

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.20%
Profit Margin-102.35%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE-109.39%
ROA-15.41%
Debt/Equity74.15
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$332.7M
Free Cash Flow$810.1M
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI75.2
Support$8.14
Resistance$11.47
MA 20$9.86
MA 50$8.22
MA 200$12.05
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$47.82
Target Price$13.38
Upside/Downside16.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.70
Volatility59.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.