STRZ:NASDAQStarz Entertainment Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$27.89
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical momentum is clearly in favor of the stock, as the price sits above both the short‑term and intermediate moving averages, with the short‑term average comfortably higher than the long‑term average, indicating a bullish trend. Relative strength index is in the high sixties, showing strong upward pressure but also signaling that the stock is edging toward overbought conditions. The beta is above one and the thirty‑day volatility approaches seventy percent, underscoring a propensity for sizable price swings. Support appears just under twenty dollars while resistance caps near twenty‑nine dollars, creating a relatively tight trading range.
On the fundamentals side, the company continues to report negative earnings, with trailing earnings per share well below zero and a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio that is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. A debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding one hundred and sixty and zero free cash flow highlight balance‑sheet stress, while cash reserves are modest relative to debt obligations. Despite these headwinds, a discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value in the mid‑forties, implying a substantial gap to the current price. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, with median price targets clustered in the high twenties, and market sentiment reads extreme greed, indicating a bullish investor mood. The juxtaposition of strong technical signals against weak fundamentals creates a nuanced risk profile that investors must weigh carefully.
On the fundamentals side, the company continues to report negative earnings, with trailing earnings per share well below zero and a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio that is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. A debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding one hundred and sixty and zero free cash flow highlight balance‑sheet stress, while cash reserves are modest relative to debt obligations. Despite these headwinds, a discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value in the mid‑forties, implying a substantial gap to the current price. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, with median price targets clustered in the high twenties, and market sentiment reads extreme greed, indicating a bullish investor mood. The juxtaposition of strong technical signals against weak fundamentals creates a nuanced risk profile that investors must weigh carefully.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical alignment with moving averages
- RSI approaching overbought territory
- Proximity to resistance level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt load and negative cash flow
- Ongoing earnings losses
- Uncertainty around earnings recovery
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to discounted cash‑flow fair value
- Potential upside from strategic content partnerships
- Sector tailwinds in streaming entertainment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.20%
Profit Margin-13.19%
P/E Ratio-9.5
Debt/Equity166.83
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$160.6M
Industry P/E17.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$19.98
Resistance$29.00
MA 20$25.30
MA 50$21.24
MA 200$14.08
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Valuation
Fair Value$46.86
Target Price$27.25
Upside/Downside-2.29%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.36
Volatility69.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.