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STRZ:NASDAQStarz Entertainment Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$27.89

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical momentum is clearly in favor of the stock, as the price sits above both the short‑term and intermediate moving averages, with the short‑term average comfortably higher than the long‑term average, indicating a bullish trend. Relative strength index is in the high sixties, showing strong upward pressure but also signaling that the stock is edging toward overbought conditions. The beta is above one and the thirty‑day volatility approaches seventy percent, underscoring a propensity for sizable price swings. Support appears just under twenty dollars while resistance caps near twenty‑nine dollars, creating a relatively tight trading range.
On the fundamentals side, the company continues to report negative earnings, with trailing earnings per share well below zero and a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio that is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. A debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding one hundred and sixty and zero free cash flow highlight balance‑sheet stress, while cash reserves are modest relative to debt obligations. Despite these headwinds, a discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value in the mid‑forties, implying a substantial gap to the current price. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, with median price targets clustered in the high twenties, and market sentiment reads extreme greed, indicating a bullish investor mood. The juxtaposition of strong technical signals against weak fundamentals creates a nuanced risk profile that investors must weigh carefully.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical alignment with moving averages
  • RSI approaching overbought territory
  • Proximity to resistance level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load and negative cash flow
  • Ongoing earnings losses
  • Uncertainty around earnings recovery

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to discounted cash‑flow fair value
  • Potential upside from strategic content partnerships
  • Sector tailwinds in streaming entertainment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-7.20%
Profit Margin-13.19%
P/E Ratio-9.5
Debt/Equity166.83
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$160.6M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$19.98
Resistance$29.00
MA 20$25.30
MA 50$21.24
MA 200$14.08
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.25

Valuation

Fair Value$46.86
Target Price$27.25
Upside/Downside-2.29%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.36
Volatility69.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.